The use and validity of the Graduate Record Examination General Test (GRE) to predict the success of graduate school applicants is heavily debated, especially for its possible impact on the selection of underrepresented minorities into science, technology, engineering, and math fields. To better identify candidates who would succeed in our program…

Social skills function as a vehicle by which we negotiate important relationships and navigate the transition from childhood into the educational and professional experiences of early adulthood. Yet, for individuals who are deaf, access to these opportunities may vary depending on their preferred language modality, family language use, and…

We develop a model of induced innovation that applies to medical research. Our model yields three empirical predictions. First, initial death rates and subsequent research effort should be positively correlated. Second, research effort should be associated with more rapid mortality declines. Third, as a byproduct of targeting the most common…

This study examined the relationship between and among the changes in the level of institutional fundraising and changes in state funding at Maryland public 4-year institutions. As institutions have become more engaged in fundraising, the impact of private giving success on changes in state funding becomes more apparent in the context of increased…

This "Practitioner's Guide to Growth Models," commissioned by the Technical Issues in Large-Scale Assessment (TILSA) and Accountability Systems & Reporting (ASR), collaboratives of the "Council of Chief State School Officers," describes different ways to calculate student academic growth and to make judgments about the…

Assesses the validity of two test samples possibly useful to the public radio station manager for determining program preferences. Results suggest that economic, valid sampling techniques can be developed, which should focus on more accessible and economic techniques than random sampling. (JEG)

This article reconsiders the issue of clinical versus statistical prediction. The term clinical is widely used to denote 1 pole of 2 independent axes: the observer whose data are being aggregated (clinician/expert vs. lay) and the method of aggregating those data (impressionistic vs. statistical). Fifty years of research suggests that when…

Forty-seven individuals evaluated in a management assessment center in 1967 were followed up eight years later. While the validity of this specific assessment center for predicting advancement appears adequate, additional research is desirable to evaluate the ability to predict performance in management. (Author/IRT)

The purpose of this study was to assess the accuracy of three recommended anthropometric equations for women and then develop an updated prediction equation using dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA). The percentage of body fat (%BF) by anthropometry was significantly correlated (r = .896-. 929; p [is less than] .01) with DXA, but each equation…

This report briefly describes and analyzes several of the most frequently used techniques for depicting trends and making projections of education statistics. Each technique is described simply and nontechnically, with its uses and shortcomings, and a step-by-step analytical and graphic example and explanation. Projection techniques described…

The publication records of 2,205 holders of the Ph.D. in sociology are examined for the period 1940-70. The predictive efficiency of six independent variables is assessed via regression analysis. A seventh variable is used as a control. Results of the study and directions for future research are presented and discussed. (SM)

The National Center for Education Statistics collects annual data on the number of bachelor's degrees conferred by institutions of higher education in the United States and on the number of persons who enter college as first-time freshmen. Compares the relationship between the two sets of data. (Author/RK)

Based on sample data representing five years of monthly circulation totals from 50 academic libraries in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, and Ohio, a study was conducted to determine the most efficient smoothing forecasting methods for academic libraries. Smoothing forecasting methods were chosen because they have been characterized…

Several studies have attempted to hypothesize about the probable effects on student academic performance at the Commonwealth campus versus Unitersity Park freshman admission for the Pennsylvania State University. This report imposes a framework of predictive modelling on the data in order to derive some notion of the weight of variables in…

A battery of instruments intended to predict on-the-job performance of patrolmen was administered to civil service police applicants, and the resulting data were factor analyzed. The factor structures which emerge closely resemble the intended structures and appear promising for planned predictive studies of criterion performance on the job. The…