The 2011 NAEP-TIMSS linking study conducted by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) was designed to predict Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) scores for the U.S. states that participated in 2011 National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) mathematics and science assessment of eighth-grade students.…

The following report of descriptive statistics addresses the attendance of the 2012 class and the average Actual and Predicted 1L Grade Point Averages (GPAs). Correlational and Inferential statistics are also run on the variables of Attendance (Y/N), Attendance Number of Times, Actual GPA, and Predictive GPA (Predictive GPA is defined as the Index…

This report briefly describes and analyzes several of the most frequently used techniques for depicting trends and making projections of education statistics. Each technique is described simply and nontechnically, with its uses and shortcomings, and a step-by-step analytical and graphic example and explanation. Projection techniques described…

The National Center for Education Statistics collects annual data on the number of bachelor's degrees conferred by institutions of higher education in the United States and on the number of persons who enter college as first-time freshmen. Compares the relationship between the two sets of data. (Author/RK)

Since university enrollment forecasting is very important, many different methods and models have been proposed by researchers. Two new methods for enrollment forecasting are introduced: (1) the fuzzy time series model; and (2) the artificial neural networks model. Fuzzy time series has been proposed to deal with forecasting problems within a…

Each year the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) publishes a pocket summary of their "Projections of Education Statistics." This summary reviews data on U.S. education from 1980-81 and provides predictions of educational data until 2002-03. Included are tables summarizing population trends and tables of elementary school and…

To assist Pennsylvania school personnel in interpreting the reports resulting from that State's Educational Quality Assessment program, this manual provides information on the goals, dimensions measured, variables measured, and method used. Appendixes provide the school norms for Grade 5 and Grade 11, a Teacher Questionnaire, School Information…

The results of the Pennsylvania Educational Quality Assessment program, Phase II, are interpreted. The first section of the manual presents a statement of each of the Ten Goals of Quality Education which served as the basis of the assessment. Also included are the key items on the questionnaires administered to 5th and 11th grade students. The…

Uses of discipline and program cost data by Indiana private colleges and universities are discussed, and cost data are presented. Attention is directed to the immediate and longer range uses of the data, the applicability of the methods to smaller institutions, reliability of the data, and the future of this analysis. The findings were used for…

Four essays and associated introductory text constituting the proceedings of a symposium on dropout research issues are presented. The introduction by Glynn Ligon makes a call for considering what is known about dropouts, what is needed to be known about dropouts, and how these findings can be communicated to educators, the public, and lawmakers.…

Methods for predicting specific college course grades, based on small numbers of observations, were investigated. These methods use collateral information across potentially diverse institutions to obtain refined within-group parameter estimates. One method, referred to as pooled least squares with adjusted intercepts, assumes that slopes and…

Several areas related to minority student college attendance are presented in this research review including the current enrollment situation, financial considerations, prediction of college persistence, college characteristics which affect persistence, and special assistance programs. Current enrollment statistics are cited on the percentage of…

This edition, 21st in a series, provides revisions of projections shown in the preceding volume and includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher learning at the national level. Data include projections for enrollment, graduates, instructional staff, and expenditures to the year 2002. Selected projections are…

Two methods of using collateral information from similar institutions to predict college freshman grade average were investigated. One central prediction model, referred to as pooled least squares with adjusted intercepts, assumes that slopes and residual variances are homogeneous across selected colleges. The second model, referred to as Bayesian…

Every year the National Center for Education Statistics publishes this pocket summary of the annual "Projections of Education Statistics." The complete report contains information on projected enrollment at all ages, numbers of high school graduates, degrees conferred, classroom teachers, and public elementary and secondary school…