A jointly supported forecasting service could make the benefits of prediction economically feasible for many institutions. (Editor)

Study found that mature women were viewed as highly effective by their employing principals, but their potential effectiveness could not be predicted accurately from judgments of supervising teachers or major professors, or from measures of academic achievement. (RT)

The merits of double exponential smoothing are discussed relative to other types of pattern-based enrollment forecasting methods. The basic assumptions and formulas for its use are outlined. The difficulties associated with selecting an appropriate weight factor are discussed, and the potential effect on prediction results is illustrated.…

Regression equations were formulated to determine the predictability of the College Level Examination Program performance from ACT scores. Equation strength prompted further investigation to determine if a relationship could be established. The tally matrix from which probabilities were computed was found to be effective for predictive purposes.…

Should one be more confident when predicting the whole (or an event based on a larger sample) from the part (or an event based on a smaller sample) than when predicting the reverse? The relevant literature on judgment under uncertainty argues that such predictions are symmetrical but that, as an empirical matter, people often fail to appreciate…

Based on sample data representing five years of monthly circulation totals from 50 academic libraries in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, and Ohio, a study was conducted to determine the most efficient smoothing forecasting methods for academic libraries. Smoothing forecasting methods were chosen because they have been characterized…

Determines the validity of students' Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) scores and high school grade point average (HSGPA) as predictors of freshmen course grades and overall college grade point average (CGPA) at Georgia Southern College. (RC)

Describes and evaluates a circuitless flow model for forecasting future student attributes and enrollment projections, compared with a simple Markov chain model. Data from a study of secondary students are used to illustrate the analytical methodologies and to contrast results of the Markov chain and circuitless flow models. (JG)

IN ORDER TO DETERMINE THEIR EFFECTIVENESS IN PREDICTING OR EXPLAINING STUDENT CHOICE, PERFORMANCE, AND PERSISTENCE IN REPRESENTATIVE CAREER PROGRAMS, A TEST BATTERY WAS ADMINISTERED TO ALL ENTERING FRESHMEN AT BRONX COMMUNITY COLLEGE, FALL, 1965. GRADE AVERAGES AND SCHOLASTIC APTITUDE TEST SCORES WERE ALSO COMPILED. ANALYSES OF DATA WERE COMPLETED…

The scientist who uses the experimental form does so in order to explain that which is verified through prediction. The prerequisites for prediction include a universe that is ordered, stable, independent, and knowable. Some assumptions of the predictive argument with respect to communication research are: the operating elements of the message are…

Examined was the feasibility of predicting the potential for abnormal child rearing practices, including child abuse and neglect among 350 mothers. Through interviews, questionnaires, and observations during labor, delivery and the postpartum period, 100 mothers were identified as at high risk for abnormal parenting procedures. Ss were then…

This study compares the effectiveness of three models of multivariate prediction for academic success in identifying the criterion variance of achievement in nursing education. The first model involves the use of an optimum set of predictors and one equation derived from a regression analysis on first semester grade average in predicting the…

This study was designed to: (1) compare the contribution of various categories of biographical data (biodata) to the differentiation of college attenders and nonattenders, and (2) to assess the accuracy of biodata as a predictor of collete attendance. Subjects consisted of 20,367 high school senior males who participated in the 1960 data…

This report analyzes the relationship between high school grades, American College Test (ACT) scores, and first-semester college grades. Based on the Standard Research Service of the ACT program, 1,379 students in the fall 1969 freshman class of Montgomery College (Maryland) were studied. Measures of academic background used ACT scores in English,…

This paper discusses two approaches that are well adapted to school district enrollment forecasting and related planning studies. The author focuses in turn on two enrollment forecasting methods--the Analytical Simulation Approach, and the Modified Cohort Survival Approach. After briefly describing each forecasting method, he presents a short case…