Discusses a survey of forecast preparers and users in 127 major companies in an attempt to assess underlying problems and identify areas for improvement. Concludes that forecasting responsibilities and tasks must be better defined and that forecast preparers and users must become better informed about one another's roles. (Author/JG)

Two sophisticated--autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), straight-line regression--and two naive--simple average, monthly average--forecasting techniques were used to forecast monthly circulation totals of 34 public libraries. Comparisons of forecasts and actual totals revealed that ARIMA and monthly average methods had smallest mean…

Indicates that under- and overachievement is related primarily to teaching and educational methods, and is independent of the subject matter area. (DS)

Compares the Metropolitan Readiness Test with the opinion a parent or teacher has of a child for predicting success in the first grade. Results of a two year study are analyzed. (RK)

The problem of forecasting monthly demands for library network services is considered in terms of using forecasts as inputs to policy analysis models, and in terms of using forecasts to aid in the making of budgeting and staffing decisions. Box-Jenkins time-series methodology, adaptive filtering, and regression approaches are examined and compared…

This package introduces college students to the elements of the Prince System, a widely used system for making political forecasts and developing political strategies. Designed to be completed in two to three weeks, the two exercises enable students to (1) identify political issues that the Prince System can help them understand, (2) determine the…

This package introduces college students to the kind of analysis that multinational corporations undertake to assess risks to their business operations due to political and economic conditions. Designed to be completed in 3 weeks, the four exercises enable students to (1) identify the major sources of political risk; (2) determine what social,…

The report is concerned with the feasibility of matching people and jobs as proposed by the Theory of Work Adjustment; according to the third proposition of this theory, satisfaction is a function of the correspondence between the reinforcer system of the work environment and the individual's needs, with certain qualification. In the study, the…

Describes results of survey of media service directors at public universities in Ohio to determine the expected longevity of audiovisual equipment. Use of the Delphi technique for estimates is explained, results are compared with an earlier survey done in 1977, and use of spreadsheet software to calculate depreciation is discussed. (LRW)

A projection is provided of the Rancho Santiago Community College District's estimated future marginal costs of classroom teachers who, pursuant to California Assembly Bill 123, may retire using their highest 12 consecutive months' salary rather than the average of the 3 highest consecutive years as their final compensation. The projection was…

The prediction that differences in incomes of high school and college graduates will not change is tested by applying standard statistical procedures to data describing actual income differences. Data from the United States Bureau of the Census describe annual incomes of men twenty-five years old and older during 1956-75. Report 1 displays results…

The study forecasts the utilization of the Continuing Education Unit (CEU) in conferences, institutes, short courses, workshops, seminars, and special training programs within the Southern Association of Colleges and Schools. (A CEU is defined as 10 contact hours of participation in an organized continuing education experience.) The methodology…

Every year the National Center for Education Statistics publishes this pocket summary of the annual "Projections of Education Statistics." The complete report contains information on projected enrollment at all ages, numbers of high school graduates, degrees conferred, classroom teachers, and public elementary and secondary school…

Each year, the National Center for Education Statistics publishes this pocket summary of the annual "Projections of Education Statistics." The complete report contains information on projected enrollment and graduates, teachers, and public elementary and secondary school expenditures. This summary contains figures for 1987-1988,…

Each year, the National Center for Education Statistics publishes this pocket summary of the annual "Projections of Education Statistics." The complete report contains information on projected enrollment at all ages, number of high school graduates, degrees conferred, classroom teachers, and public elementary and secondary school…