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Roslyn Wong; Aaron Veldre; Sally Andrews – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2024
Evidence of processing costs for unexpected words presented in place of a more expected completion remains elusive in the eye-movement literature. The current study investigated whether such prediction error costs depend on the source of constraint violation provided by the prior context. Participants' eye movements were recorded as they read…
Descriptors: Reading Processes, Eye Movements, Prediction, Probability
Silva, Hernán A.; Quezada, Luis E.; Oddershede, A. M.; Palominos, Pedro I.; O'Brien, Christopher – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2023
The objective of this paper is the design of a predictive model of students' desertion in Educational Institutions based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The proposed model is based on a weighted sum of individual probabilities of desertion associated with various factors (explanatory variables) by experts in the combined use of the AHP…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Prediction, Models, Probability
Crimston, Jessica; Redshaw, Jonathan; Suddendorf, Thomas – Developmental Psychology, 2023
Previous research has suggested that infants are able to distinguish between possible and impossible events and make basic probabilistic inferences. However, much of this research has focused on children's intuitions about past events for which the outcome is already determined but unknown. Here, we investigated children's ability to use…
Descriptors: Preschool Children, Thinking Skills, Intuition, Discrimination Learning
Xiaoyang Ye – Education Finance and Policy, 2024
This paper provides the first experimental evidence of how admission outcomes in centralized systems depend on strategic college choice behaviors. Centralized college admissions simplify the application process and reduce students' informational barriers. However, such systems also reward informed and strategic college choices. In particular,…
Descriptors: College Admission, College Choice, Educational Administration, Prediction
English, Lyn D. – Statistics Education Research Journal, 2023
This article reports on a study in which third-grade students (8-9 years) were given a degree of agency in conducting chance experiments and representing the outcomes. Students chose their own samples of 12 coloured counters, ensuring all colours were represented. They predicted the outcomes of item selection, tested their predictions, explained…
Descriptors: Grade 3, Elementary School Students, Color, Probability
Hsu, Hao-Hsuan; Huang, Nen-Fu – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2022
This article introduces Xiao-Shih, the first intelligent question answering bot on Chinese-based massive open online courses (MOOCs). Question answering is critical for solving individual problems. However, instructors on MOOCs must respond to many questions, and learners must wait a long time for answers. To address this issue, Xiao-Shih…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Artificial Intelligence, Online Courses, Natural Language Processing
Oh, Se Jin; Sung, Jee Eun; Lee, Sung Eun – Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research, 2022
Purpose: How older adults engage in predictive processing compared to young adults during sentence processing has been a controversial issue in psycholinguistic research. This study investigated whether age-related differences in predictive processing emerge and how they influence young and older adults' construction of sentential representations…
Descriptors: Older Adults, Young Adults, Eye Movements, Cognitive Processes
Lim Keai – Excellence in Education Journal, 2023
This study was inspired by the Indian movie 'Three idiots' and purposed to investigate the reasons behind the high rate of engineering degree programmes dropouts in India. Accordingly, factors related to academic, demographic, economic, family, future, institutional, personal, and social were derived and examined on their impacts on student…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Films, Engineering Education, Dropouts
Supply, Anne-Sophie; Van Dooren, Wim; Onghena, Patrick – Mathematical Thinking and Learning: An International Journal, 2022
Previous research has shown that early numerical abilities are predictive of later mathematical achievement. In line with these previous studies, we investigated whether early numerical abilities are also associated with later probabilistic reasoning abilities. In the present study, we examined children's numerical abilities in the second grade of…
Descriptors: Mathematics Skills, Numeracy, Mathematics Achievement, Preschool Children
Aßfalg, André; Klauer, Karl Christoph – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2019
We consider the proposition that reasoners represent causal conditionals such as "if John studies hard, he will do well in the test" as a causal model in which the antecedent ("John studies hard") is a potential cause of the consequent ("John does well in the test"). Some studies suggest that reasoners ignore…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Causal Models, Evaluative Thinking, Probability
Martínez Pérez, Sandra Areli; Sánchez Sánchez, Ernesto A. – North American Chapter of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education, 2020
This work reports the results of a research aimed to know the probabilistic reasoning of high-school students when they deal with the notion of random intervals. An activity was carried out involving students between ages 16 and 17 who built random intervals through physical and computational simulations. The research question guiding this work…
Descriptors: High School Students, Thinking Skills, Probability, Intervals
Elbehary, Samah G. A. – Pythagoras, 2021
Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics…
Descriptors: Preservice Teachers, Mathematics Teachers, Probability, Mathematics Education
Fröber, Kerstin; Jurczyk, Vanessa; Dreisbach, Gesine – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2022
Frequent forced switching between tasks has been shown to reduce switch costs and increase voluntary switch rates. So far, however, the boundary conditions of the influence of forced task switching on voluntary task switching are unknown. Thus, the present study was aimed to test different aspects of generalizability (across items, tasks, and…
Descriptors: Cognitive Ability, Attention Control, Task Analysis, Generalization
Peralta, Montserrat; Alarcon, Rosa; Pichara, Karim E.; Mery, Tomas; Cano, Felipe; Bozo, Jorge – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2018
Educational resources can be easily found on the Web. Most search engines base their algorithms on a resource's text or popularity, requiring teachers to navigate the results until they find an appropriate resource. This makes searching for resources a tedious and cumbersome task. Specialized repositories contain resources that are annotated with…
Descriptors: Educational Resources, Metadata, Foreign Countries, Bayesian Statistics
Cohausz, Lea – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2022
Student success and drop-out predictions have gained increased attention in recent years, connected to the hope that by identifying struggling students, it is possible to intervene and provide early help and design programs based on patterns discovered by the models. Though by now many models exist achieving remarkable accuracy-values, models…
Descriptors: Guidelines, Academic Achievement, Dropouts, Prediction