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Direct linkJoslyn, Susan L.; LeClerc, Jared E. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2012
Although uncertainty is inherent in weather forecasts, explicit numeric uncertainty estimates are rarely included in public forecasts for fear that they will be misunderstood. Of particular concern are situations in which precautionary action is required at low probabilities, often the case with severe events. At present, a categorical weather…
Descriptors: Prediction, Decision Making, Probability, Experiments
Goldhaber, Dan; Theobald, Roddy – Education Finance and Policy, 2013
Over 2,000 teachers in the state of Washington received reduction in force (RIF) notices across the 2008-09 and 2009-10 school years. We link data on these RIF notices to an administrative data set that includes student, teacher, school, and district variables to determine the factors that predict the likelihood of a teacher receiving a RIF…
Descriptors: Job Layoff, Teachers, Prediction, Employment Level
