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Direct linkKutzner, Florian; Freytag, Peter; Vogel, Tobias; Fiedler, Klaus – Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 2008
When humans predict criterion events based on probabilistic predictors, they often lend excessive weight to the predictor and insufficient weight to the base rate of the criterion event. In an operant analysis, using a matching-to-sample paradigm, Goodie and Fantino (1996) showed that humans exhibit base-rate neglect when predictors are associated…
Descriptors: Contingency Management, Prediction, Operant Conditioning, Predictor Variables
