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Abdul Haq – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2024
This article introduces an innovative sampling scheme, the median sampling (MS), utilizing individual observations over time to efficiently estimate the mean of a process characterized by a symmetric (non-uniform) probability distribution. The mean estimator based on MS is not only unbiased but also boasts enhanced precision compared to its simple…
Descriptors: Sampling, Innovation, Computation, Probability
Richard Breen; John Ermisch – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
We consider the problem of bias arising from conditioning on a post-outcome collider. We illustrate this with reference to Elwert and Winship (2014) but we go beyond their study to investigate the extent to which inverse probability weighting might offer solutions. We use linear models to derive expressions for the bias arising in different kinds…
Descriptors: Probability, Statistical Bias, Weighted Scores, Least Squares Statistics
Joseph M. Kush; Elise T. Pas; Rashelle J. Musci; Catherine P. Bradshaw – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2023
Propensity score matching and weighting methods are often used in observational effectiveness studies to reduce imbalance between treated and untreated groups on a set of potential confounders. However, much of the prior methodological literature on matching and weighting has yet to examine performance for scenarios with a majority of treated…
Descriptors: Probability, Observation, Weighted Scores, Monte Carlo Methods
Aimel Zafar; Manzoor Khan; Muhammad Yousaf – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2024
Subjects with initially extreme observations upon remeasurement are found closer to the population mean. This tendency of observations toward the mean is called regression to the mean (RTM) and can make natural variation in repeated data look like real change. Studies, where subjects are selected on a baseline criterion, should be guarded against…
Descriptors: Measurement, Regression (Statistics), Statistical Distributions, Intervention
Huang, Francis L. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Experiments in psychology or education often use logistic regression models (LRMs) when analyzing binary outcomes. However, a challenge with LRMs is that results are generally difficult to understand. We present alternatives to LRMs in the analysis of experiments and discuss the linear probability model, the log-binomial model, and the modified…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Monte Carlo Methods, Probability, Error Patterns
Ming-Chi Tseng – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
The primary objective of this investigation is the formulation of random intercept latent profile transition analysis (RI-LPTA). Our simulation investigation suggests that the election between LPTA and RI-LPTA for examination has negligible impact on the estimation of transition probability parameters when the population parameters are generated…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Predictor Variables, Research Methodology, Test Bias
Joseph M. Kush; Elise T. Pas; Rashelle J. Musci; Catherine P. Bradshaw – Grantee Submission, 2022
Propensity score matching and weighting methods are often used in observational effectiveness studies to reduce imbalance between treated and untreated groups on a set of potential confounders. However, much of the prior methodological literature on matching and weighting has yet to examine performance for scenarios with a majority of treated…
Descriptors: Probability, Observation, Weighted Scores, Monte Carlo Methods
Clemens Draxler; Andreas Kurz; Can Gürer; Jan Philipp Nolte – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2024
A modified and improved inductive inferential approach to evaluate item discriminations in a conditional maximum likelihood and Rasch modeling framework is suggested. The new approach involves the derivation of four hypothesis tests. It implies a linear restriction of the assumed set of probability distributions in the classical approach that…
Descriptors: Inferences, Test Items, Item Analysis, Maximum Likelihood Statistics
Fay, Derek M.; Levy, Roy; Schulte, Ann C. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Longitudinal data structures are frequently encountered in a variety of disciplines in the social and behavioral sciences. Growth curve modeling offers a highly extensible framework that allows for the exploration of rich hypotheses. However, owing to the presence of interrelated sources of potential data-model misfit at multiple levels, the…
Descriptors: Measurement, Models, Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
Collier, Zachary K.; Zhang, Haobai; Liu, Liu – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2022
Although educational research and evaluation generally occur in multilevel settings, many analyses ignore cluster effects. Neglecting the nature of data from educational settings, especially in non-randomized experiments, can result in biased estimates with long-term consequences. Our manuscript improves the availability and understanding of…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Probability, Scores, Educational Research
Coté, Murray J.; Smith, Marlene A. – Decision Sciences Journal of Innovative Education, 2022
Popular game shows offer educators the opportunity to develop active-learning exercises that provide students with a real-world connection to analytical reasoning and methods. We describe a classroom assignment developed for quantitative business courses based on the Monty Hall Problem (MHP), a probability puzzle with ties to the long-running…
Descriptors: Experiential Learning, Business Administration Education, Probability, Games
Hanif Akhtar – International Society for Technology, Education, and Science, 2023
For efficiency, Computerized Adaptive Test (CAT) algorithm selects items with the maximum information, typically with a 50% probability of being answered correctly. However, examinees may not be satisfied if they only correctly answer 50% of the items. Researchers discovered that changing the item selection algorithms to choose easier items (i.e.,…
Descriptors: Success, Probability, Computer Assisted Testing, Adaptive Testing
Umut Atasever; Francis L. Huang; Leslie Rutkowski – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2025
When analyzing large-scale assessments (LSAs) that use complex sampling designs, it is important to account for probability sampling using weights. However, the use of these weights in multilevel models has been widely debated, particularly regarding their application at different levels of the model. Yet, no consensus has been reached on the best…
Descriptors: Mathematics Tests, International Assessment, Elementary Secondary Education, Foreign Countries
Wang, Yan; Kim, Eunsook; Joo, Seang-Hwane; Chun, Seokjoon; Alamri, Abeer; Lee, Philseok; Stark, Stephen – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Multilevel latent class analysis (MLCA) has been increasingly used to investigate unobserved population heterogeneity while taking into account data dependency. Nonparametric MLCA has gained much popularity due to the advantage of classifying both individuals and clusters into latent classes. This study demonstrated the need to relax the…
Descriptors: Nonparametric Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Monte Carlo Methods, Simulation
Shen, Ting; Konstantopoulos, Spyros – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Large-scale education data are collected via complex sampling designs that incorporate clustering and unequal probability of selection. Multilevel models are often utilized to account for clustering effects. The probability weighted approach (PWA) has been frequently used to deal with the unequal probability of selection. In this study, we examine…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Educational Research, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics