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Rusconi, Patrice; Marelli, Marco; D'Addario, Marco; Russo, Selena; Cherubini, Paolo – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Evidence evaluation is a crucial process in many human activities, spanning from medical diagnosis to impression formation. The present experiments investigated which, if any, normative model best conforms to people's intuition about the value of the obtained evidence. Psychologists, epistemologists, and philosophers of science have proposed…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Models, Intuition, Evidence
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McKenzie, Craig R. M. – Cognitive Psychology, 1994
Through Monte Carlo simulation, respective normative and intuitive strategies for covariation assessment and Bayesian inference are compared. Results indicate that better performance in both tasks results from considering alternative hypotheses, although not necessarily using a normative strategy. Conditions under which intuitive strategies may be…
Descriptors: Analysis of Covariance, Bayesian Statistics, Comparative Analysis, Decision Making