Predictive modeling is a core technique used in tackling various tasks in learning analytics research, e.g., classifying educational forum posts, predicting learning performance, and identifying at-risk students. When applying a predictive model, it is often treated as the first priority to improve its prediction accuracy as much as possible.…

Multistate models are often used in social research to analyze how individuals move between states. A typical application is the estimation of the lifetime spent in a certain state, like the lifetime spent in employment, or the lifetime spent in good health. Unfortunately, the estimation of such quantities is prone to several biases. In this…

In order to study the big data of college students' employment, this paper takes the big data of college students' employment as the premise, analyzes the current employment data by establishing a DBN model, and puts forward relevant management measures, aiming to provide scientific basis for the management of graduates' employment data. The…

Learning techniques have proven their capacity to treat large amount of data. Most statistical learning approaches use specific size learning sets and create static models. Withal, in certain some situations such as incremental or active learning the learning process can work with only a smal amount of data. In this case, the search for algorithms…

Exploratory data analysis (EDA) is an iterative, open-ended data analysis procedure that allows practitioners to examine data without pre-conceived notions to advise improvement processes and make informed decisions. Education is a data-rich field that is primed for a transition into a deeper, more purposeful use of data. This article introduces…

This article describes and justifies a reporting standard to improve data use documentation in Agent-Based Modelling. Following the development of reporting standards for models themselves, empirical modelling has now developed to the point where these standards need to take equally effective account of data use (which previously has tended to be…

Categorical data become increasingly ubiquitous in the modern big data era. In this dissertation, we propose novel statistical learning and inference methods for large-scale categorical data, focusing on latent variable models and their applications to psychometrics. In psychometric assessments, the subjects' underlying aptitude often cannot be…

It is common to find mixed-format data results from the use of both multiple-choice (MC) and constructed-response (CR) questions on assessments. Dealing with these mixed response types involves understanding what the assessment is measuring, and the use of suitable measurement models to estimate latent abilities. Past research in educational…

Recent research has indicated that the manner in which single-case data are typically displayed for visual analysis may influence rater decisions regarding the effect of an intervention. Subsequently, researchers have encouraged adherence to a standard assembly for linear graphs in order to control these effects. Others, however, have encouraged…

High-quality feedback requires understanding of a student's work, insights into what concepts would help them improve, and language that matches the preferences of the specific teaching team. While Large Language Models (LLMs) can generate coherent feedback, adapting these responses to align with specific teacher preferences remains an open…

Deep learning models for text classification have been increasingly used in intelligent tutoring systems and educational writing assistants. However, the scarcity of data in many educational settings, as well as certain imbalances in counts among the annotated labels of educational datasets, limits the generalizability and expressiveness of…

Predicting learner actions and intentions is crucial for providing personalized real-time support and early intervention in programming education. This approach enables proactive, context-aware assistance that is difficult for human instructors to deliver by foreseeing signs of potential struggles and misconceptions, or by inferring a learner's…

Data visualization technologies are powerful tools for telling evidence-based narratives about oneself and the world. This paper contributes to the literature on data science education by examining the sociotechnical practices of data wrangling--strategies for selecting and managing large, aggregated datasets to produce a model and story. We…

Identifying motivation for enrollment in MOOCs has been an important way to predict participant success rates. But themes for motivation have largely centered around themes for enrolling in any MOOC, and not ones specific to the course being studied. In this study, qualitatively coding discussion forums was combined with topic modeling to identify…

Given the increased focus of educational research on what works for whom and under what circumstances over the last decade, educational researchers are increasingly turning toward mixture models to identify heterogeneous subgroups among students. Such data are inherently nested, as students are nested within classrooms and schools. Yet there has…