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Najera, Hector – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2023
Measurement error affects the quality of population orderings of an index and, hence, increases the misclassification of the poor and the non-poor groups and affects statistical inferences from binary regression models. Hence, the conclusions about the extent, profile, and distribution of poverty are likely to be misleading. However, the size and…
Descriptors: Poverty, Error of Measurement, Classification, Statistical Inference
Siegel, Lianne; Chu, Haitao – Research Synthesis Methods, 2023
Reference intervals, or reference ranges, aid medical decision-making by containing a pre-specified proportion (e.g., 95%) of the measurements in a representative healthy population. We recently proposed three approaches for estimating a reference interval from a meta-analysis based on a random effects model: a frequentist approach, a Bayesian…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Meta Analysis, Intervals, Decision Making
Han Du; Brian Keller; Egamaria Alacam; Craig Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Comparative Analysis, Probability
Robert B. Olsen; Larry L. Orr; Stephen H. Bell; Elizabeth Petraglia; Elena Badillo-Goicoechea; Atsushi Miyaoka; Elizabeth A. Stuart – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2024
Multi-site randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide unbiased estimates of the average impact in the study sample. However, their ability to accurately predict the impact for individual sites outside the study sample, to inform local policy decisions, is largely unknown. To extend prior research on this question, we analyzed six multi-site RCTs…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Predictor Variables, Randomized Controlled Trials, Regression (Statistics)
Fay, Derek M.; Levy, Roy; Schulte, Ann C. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Longitudinal data structures are frequently encountered in a variety of disciplines in the social and behavioral sciences. Growth curve modeling offers a highly extensible framework that allows for the exploration of rich hypotheses. However, owing to the presence of interrelated sources of potential data-model misfit at multiple levels, the…
Descriptors: Measurement, Models, Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
Cerullo, Enzo; Jones, Hayley E.; Carter, Olivia; Quinn, Terry J.; Cooper, Nicola J.; Sutton, Alex J. – Research Synthesis Methods, 2022
Standard methods for the meta-analysis of medical tests, without assuming a gold standard, are limited to dichotomous data. Multivariate probit models are used to analyse correlated dichotomous data, and can be extended to model ordinal data. Within the context of an imperfect gold standard, they have previously been used for the analysis of…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Test Format, Medicine, Standards
Guleria, Pratiyush; Sood, Manu – Education and Information Technologies, 2023
Machine Learning concept learns from experiences, inferences and conceives complex queries. Machine learning techniques can be used to develop the educational framework which understands the inputs from students, parents and with intelligence generates the result. The framework integrates the features of Machine Learning (ML), Explainable AI (XAI)…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Career Counseling, Data Analysis, Employment Potential
Shu, Tian; Luo, Guanzhong; Luo, Zhaosheng; Yu, Xiaofeng; Guo, Xiaojun; Li, Yujun – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are the statistical framework for cognitive diagnostic assessment in education and psychology. They generally assume that subjects' latent attributes are dichotomous--mastery or nonmastery, which seems quite deterministic. As an alternative to dichotomous attribute mastery, attention is drawn to the use of a…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Models, Diagnostic Tests, Accuracy
Berg, Arthur – Teaching Statistics: An International Journal for Teachers, 2021
The topic of Bayesian updating is explored using standard and non-standard dice as an intuitive and motivating model. Details of calculating posterior probabilities for a discrete distribution are provided, offering a different view to P-values. This article also includes the stars and bars counting technique, a powerful method of counting that is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Teaching Methods, Statistics Education, Intuition
Bloome, Deirdre; Schrage, Daniel – Sociological Methods & Research, 2021
Causal analyses typically focus on average treatment effects. Yet for substantive research on topics like inequality, interest extends to treatments' distributional consequences. When individuals differ in their responses to treatment, three types of inequality may result. Treatment may shape inequalities between subgroups defined by pretreatment…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Outcomes of Treatment, Statistical Analysis, Correlation
Yamaguchi, Kazuhiro; Okada, Kensuke – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
In this article, we propose a variational Bayes (VB) inference method for the deterministic input noisy AND gate model of cognitive diagnostic assessment. The proposed method, which applies the iterative algorithm for optimization, is derived based on the optimal variational posteriors of the model parameters. The proposed VB inference enables…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Cognitive Measurement, Mathematics
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
Hecht, Martin; Voelkle, Manuel C. – International Journal of Behavioral Development, 2021
The analysis of cross-lagged relationships is a popular approach in prevention research to explore the dynamics between constructs over time. However, a limitation of commonly used cross-lagged models is the requirement of equally spaced measurement occasions that prevents the usage of flexible longitudinal designs and complicates cross-study…
Descriptors: Models, Longitudinal Studies, Prevention, Time
Xing, Wanli; Du, Dongping; Bakhshi, Ali; Chiu, Kuo-Chun; Du, Hanxiang – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2021
Predictive modeling in online education is a popular topic in learning analytics research and practice. This study proposes a novel predictive modeling method to improve model transferability over time within the same course and across different courses. The research gaps addressed are limited evidence showing whether a predictive model built on…
Descriptors: Electronic Learning, Bayesian Statistics, Prediction, Models
Du, Han; Enders, Craig; Keller, Brian; Bradbury, Thomas N.; Karney, Benjamin R. – Grantee Submission, 2022
Missing data are exceedingly common across a variety of disciplines, such as educational, social, and behavioral science areas. Missing not at random (MNAR) mechanism where missingness is related to unobserved data is widespread in real data and has detrimental consequence. However, the existing MNAR-based methods have potential problems such as…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Data Analysis, Computer Simulation, Sample Size

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