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Aimee Evan; Olivia Szendey; Kelly Wynveen – WestEd, 2025
This paper reports on a study that adopted a systematic approach to school-level early warning. The study examined areas where research consistently shows schools commonly experience decline: (1) leadership stability; (2) talent management; (3) organizational culture; (4) financial operations; and (5) instructional programming. Rather than relying…
Descriptors: Educational Indicators, Educational Quality, Identification, Prevention
Durand, Guillaume; Goutte, Cyril; Léger, Serge – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2018
Knowledge tracing is a fundamental area of educational data modeling that aims at gaining a better understanding of the learning occurring in tutoring systems. Knowledge tracing models fit various parameters on observed student performance and are evaluated through several goodness of fit metrics. Fitted parameter values are of crucial interest in…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Models, Goodness of Fit, Predictive Validity
Conijn, Rianne; Snijders, Chris; Kleingeld, Ad; Matzat, Uwe – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2017
With the adoption of Learning Management Systems (LMSs) in educational institutions, a lot of data has become available describing students' online behavior. Many researchers have used these data to predict student performance. This has led to a rather diverse set of findings, possibly related to the diversity in courses and predictor variables…
Descriptors: Blended Learning, Predictor Variables, Predictive Validity, Predictive Measurement
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – Grantee Submission, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
Olsen, Jennifer K.; Aleven, Vincent; Rummel, Nikol – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Student models for adaptive systems may not model collaborative learning optimally. Past research has either focused on modeling individual learning or for collaboration, has focused on group dynamics or group processes without predicting learning. In the current paper, we adjust the Additive Factors Model (AFM), a standard logistic regression…
Descriptors: Educational Environment, Predictive Measurement, Predictor Variables, Cooperative Learning
Castro, Francisco Enrique Vicente; Adjei, Seth; Colombo, Tyler; Heffernan, Neil – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
A great deal of research in educational data mining is geared towards predicting student performance. Bayesian Knowledge Tracing, Performance Factors Analysis, and the different variations of these have been introduced and have had some success at predicting student knowledge. It is worth noting, however, that very little has been done to…
Descriptors: Models, Student Behavior, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Data Analysis
Riofrio-Luzcando, Diego; Ramirez, Jaime; Berrocal-Lobo, Marta – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2017
Data mining is known to have a potential for predicting user performance. However, there are few studies that explore its potential for predicting student behavior in a procedural training environment. This paper presents a collective student model, which is built from past student logs. These logs are first grouped into clusters. Then, an…
Descriptors: Student Behavior, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables, Predictive Measurement
Welsch, David M.; Zimmer, David M. – Education Finance and Policy, 2015
This paper draws attention to a subtle, but concerning, empirical challenge common in panel data models that seek to estimate the relationship between student transfers and district academic performance. Specifically, if such models have a dynamic element, and if the estimator controls for unobserved traits by including district-level effects,…
Descriptors: Transfer Students, Academic Achievement, Feedback (Response), School Districts
Reardon, Robert C.; Melvin, Brittany; McClain, Mary-Catherine; Peterson, Gary W.; Bowman, William J. – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2015
Conducting research and engaging in discussions with administrators and legislators can be important contributions toward alleviating the trend toward lower graduation rates among college students. This study used archival data obtained from the university registrar to examine how engagement in a credit-bearing undergraduate career course related…
Descriptors: Graduation Rate, Student Records, Prediction, Predictive Validity
Cutler, David M.; Meara, Ellen; Richards-Shubik, Seth – Journal of Human Resources, 2012
We develop a model of induced innovation that applies to medical research. Our model yields three empirical predictions. First, initial death rates and subsequent research effort should be positively correlated. Second, research effort should be associated with more rapid mortality declines. Third, as a byproduct of targeting the most common…
Descriptors: Evidence, Innovation, Medical Services, Infants
Kozina, Ana – Educational Studies, 2015
In this study, we analyse the predictive power of home and school environment-related factors for determining pupils' aggression. The multiple regression analyses are performed for fourth- and eighth-grade pupils based on the Trends in Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) 2007 (N = 8394) and TIMSS 2011 (N = 9415) databases for Slovenia. At the…
Descriptors: Aggression, Elementary Schools, Predictive Validity, Educational Environment
Sao Pedro, Michael A.; Baker, Ryan S. J. d.; Gobert, Janice D. – Grantee Submission, 2012
Data-mined models often achieve good predictive power, but sometimes at the cost of interpretability. We investigate here if selecting features to increase a model's construct validity and interpretability also can improve the model's ability to predict the desired constructs. We do this by taking existing models and reducing the feature set to…
Descriptors: Content Validity, Data Interpretation, Models, Predictive Validity
Chennamaneni, Anitha; Teng, James T. C.; Raja, M. K. – Behaviour & Information Technology, 2012
Research and practice on knowledge management (KM) have shown that information technology alone cannot guarantee that employees will volunteer and share knowledge. While previous studies have linked motivational factors to knowledge sharing (KS), we took a further step to thoroughly examine this theoretically and empirically. We developed a…
Descriptors: Information Technology, Knowledge Management, Models, Motivation
Gobert, Janice D.; Sao Pedro, Michael; Raziuddin, Juelaila; Baker, Ryan S. – Journal of the Learning Sciences, 2013
We present a method for assessing science inquiry performance, specifically for the inquiry skill of designing and conducting experiments, using educational data mining on students' log data from online microworlds in the Inq-ITS system (Inquiry Intelligent Tutoring System; www.inq-its.org). In our approach, we use a 2-step process: First we use…
Descriptors: Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Science Education, Inquiry, Science Process Skills
Teo, Timothy – Interactive Learning Environments, 2012
This study examined pre-service teachers' self-reported intention to use technology. One hundred fifty-seven participants completed a survey questionnaire measuring their responses to six constructs from a research model that integrated the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) and Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). Structural equation modeling was…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Educational Technology, Structural Equation Models, Computer Uses in Education

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