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Robert B. Olsen; Larry L. Orr; Stephen H. Bell; Elizabeth Petraglia; Elena Badillo-Goicoechea; Atsushi Miyaoka; Elizabeth A. Stuart – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2024
Multi-site randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide unbiased estimates of the average impact in the study sample. However, their ability to accurately predict the impact for individual sites outside the study sample, to inform local policy decisions, is largely unknown. To extend prior research on this question, we analyzed six multi-site RCTs…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Predictor Variables, Randomized Controlled Trials, Regression (Statistics)
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Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Grantee Submission, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. (2020) estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
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Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores, including…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
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Ugur Sener; Salvatore Joseph Terregrossa – SAGE Open, 2024
The aim of the study is the development of methodology for accurate estimation of electric vehicle demand; which is paramount regarding various aspects of the firms decision-making such as optimal price, production level, and corresponding amounts of capital and labor; as well as supply chain, inventory control, capital financing, and operational…
Descriptors: Motor Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, Prediction, Regression (Statistics)
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Jean-Paul Fox – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
Popular item response theory (IRT) models are considered complex, mainly due to the inclusion of a random factor variable (latent variable). The random factor variable represents the incidental parameter problem since the number of parameters increases when including data of new persons. Therefore, IRT models require a specific estimation method…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Item Response Theory, Accuracy, Bayesian Statistics
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Kuroki, Masanori – Journal of Economic Education, 2023
As vast amounts of data have become available in business in recent years, the demand for data scientists has been rising. The author of this article provides a tutorial on how one entry-level machine learning competition from Kaggle, an online community for data scientists, can be integrated into an undergraduate econometrics course as an…
Descriptors: Statistics Education, Teaching Methods, Competition, Prediction
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Maxi Schulz; Malte Kramer; Oliver Kuss; Tim Mathes – Research Synthesis Methods, 2024
In sparse data meta-analyses (with few trials or zero events), conventional methods may distort results. Although better-performing one-stage methods have become available in recent years, their implementation remains limited in practice. This study examines the impact of using conventional methods compared to one-stage models by re-analysing…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Data Analysis, Research Methodology, Research Problems
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Gonzalez, Oscar – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
When scores are used to make decisions about respondents, it is of interest to estimate classification accuracy (CA), the probability of making a correct decision, and classification consistency (CC), the probability of making the same decision across two parallel administrations of the measure. Model-based estimates of CA and CC computed from the…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Intervals, Probability
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Kamdjou, Herve D. Teguim – Open Education Studies, 2023
This article revisits the Mincer earnings function and presents comparable estimates of the average monetary returns associated with an additional year of education across different regions worldwide. In contrast to the traditional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method commonly employed in the literature, this study applied a cutting-edge approach…
Descriptors: Outcomes of Education, Artificial Intelligence, Human Capital, Regression (Statistics)
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A. M. Sadek; Fahad Al-Muhlaki – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2024
In this study, the accuracy of the artificial neural network (ANN) was assessed considering the uncertainties associated with the randomness of the data and the lack of learning. The Monte-Carlo algorithm was applied to simulate the randomness of the input variables and evaluate the output distribution. It has been shown that under certain…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Accuracy, Artificial Intelligence, Guidelines
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Mangino, Anthony A.; Smith, Kendall A.; Finch, W. Holmes; Hernández-Finch, Maria E. – Measurement and Evaluation in Counseling and Development, 2022
A number of machine learning methods can be employed in the prediction of suicide attempts. However, many models do not predict new cases well in cases with unbalanced data. The present study improved prediction of suicide attempts via the use of a generative adversarial network.
Descriptors: Prediction, Suicide, Artificial Intelligence, Networks
Abdullah Mana Alfarwan – ProQuest LLC, 2024
This dissertation examined classification outcome differences among four popular individual supervised machine learning (ISML) models (logistic regression, decision tree, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron) when predicting minor class membership within imbalanced datasets. The study context and the theoretical population sampled…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Decision Making, Prediction, Sample Size
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Forthmann, Boris; Förster, Natalie; Souvignier, Elmar – Journal of Intelligence, 2022
Monitoring the progress of student learning is an important part of teachers' data-based decision making. One such tool that can equip teachers with information about students' learning progress throughout the school year and thus facilitate monitoring and instructional decision making is learning progress assessments. In practical contexts and…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Progress Monitoring, Robustness (Statistics), Bayesian Statistics
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Shabnam Ara S. J.; Tanuja Ramachandriah; Manjula S. Haladappa – Online Learning, 2025
Predicting learner performance with precision is critical within educational systems, offering a basis for tailored interventions and instruction. The advent of big data analytics presents an opportunity to employ Machine Learning (ML) techniques to this end. Real-world data availability is often hampered by privacy concerns, prompting a shift…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Privacy, Artificial Intelligence, Regression (Statistics)
Adam J. Reeger – ProQuest LLC, 2022
Student growth percentiles (SGPs) have become a common means to measure and report on student academic growth for state education accountability, and some states have adopted SGP cutscores as a means of classifying student growth into categories like "high/medium/low" growth. It has therefore become important to understand properties of…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Achievement Gains, Accountability, Regression (Statistics)
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