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Brown, Scott D.; Steyvers, Mark – Cognitive Psychology, 2009
When required to predict sequential events, such as random coin tosses or basketball free throws, people reliably use inappropriate strategies, such as inferring temporal structure when none is present. We investigate the ability of observers to predict sequential events in dynamically changing environments, where there is an opportunity to detect…
Descriptors: Preschool Children, Probability, Learning Strategies, Prediction