Testing procedures which involve testees assigning probabilities of correctness to all multiple choice alternatives is examined. Two basic assumptions in these procedures are reviewed. Empirical examinee response data are examined and it is suggested that these assumptions should not be taken lightly in empirical studies of personal probability…

A student's choice of an answer to a test question is a coarse measure of his knowledge about the subject matter of the question. Much finer measurement might be achieved if the student were asked to estimate, for each possible answer, the probability that it is the correct one. Such a procedure could yield two classes of benefits: (a) students…