Results of cognitive diagnoses were validated using the rule-space model, and the usefulness of cognitive diagnosis for instruction was demonstrated. Through preliminary studies, 33 stages of knowledge were defined as cognitive diagnoses to be applied to results from a test of knowledge about fractions of seventh and eighth graders (initial test…

A Markov model for predicting performance on criterion-referenced tests is presented,. The model is expressed mathematically as a function of transition matrix, a current state vector, and a future state vector. The matrix is defined in terms of conditional probabilities, i.e., the probability of making a transition to a specific future…