To measure industrial development in Taiwan, four variables were used: the index of industrial production, electricity consumed in kilowatt hours per capita, Gross National Product per capita, and the percentage of the active working force engaged in non-agricultural occupations. The primary objective of the study was to design a predicting model…

A general model for prediction and association is described for the situation in which both criterion and predictor(s) are discrete variables. The approach can be employed for the general case involving any number of predictors, and the related measures of multiple and partial association are described. (Author/GK)

A procedure for inferring the validity of a selection test as a predictor of some criterion when the available data are limited due to prior selection is described. (Author/JKS)

Major objective in this study was the structuring of a predictive model that would assess combinations of variables that most effectively and parsimoniously measure and forecast college success. (Author)

Models proposed by Cleary, Thorndike, Cole, Einhorn and Bass, and Darlington for analyzing bias in the use of tests in a selection strategy are surveyed. Six additional models for test bias are also introduced. The purpose is to describe, compare, contrast, and evaluate these models while, at the same time, extracting such useful ideas as may be…

Confirmatory factor analysis was applied to test second- and higher-order factor models in the areas of structure of abilities, allometry, and the separation of specific and error variance estimates. The estimation of validity and reliability, second-order models within factor analysis models, and the concept of discriminability were also studied.…

To determine if the observed correlation between two variables can be "explained" by a third variable, a significance test on the partial correlation coefficient is often used. This can be misleading when the third variable is measured with error. This article shows how the problem can be partially overcome. (Author/BW)

The use of analysis of covariance in conjunction with the multivariate approach to analyzing repeated measures designs is considered for designs involving between- and within-subject factors, one dependent variable, and one observation per subject on the covariate. (Author/RL)

A model was developed for estimating individuals' true changes on test scores using the additional information provided by an auxiliary variable correlated with a trait being measured. This provides an improved and more precise estimate when compared with simple difference scores. It involves the reliability of "X" scores only. (SLD)

A statistical model for investigating predictive validity at highly selective institutions is described. When the selection ratio is small, one must typically deal with a data set containing relatively large amounts of missing data on both criterion and predictor variables. Standard statistical approaches are based on the strong assumption that…

An alternative definition has been developed of the delta scale of item difficulty used at Educational Testing Service. The traditional delta scale uses an inverse normal transformation based on normal ogive models developed years ago. However, no use is made of this fact in typical uses of item deltas. It is simply one way to make the probability…

The authors respond to Miley's critique (TM 503 900) of their article on predicting parolee recidivism (TM 502 998). They are pleased that he discovered some computational errors, that he used their method to analyze other data, and that he developed hypotheses concerning the behavior of the parameters. (Author/GDC)

Eight formula-based estimates of population squared cross-validity and nine estimates of factor scores were compared with estimates from the conventional cross-validation procedure. Burket's and Rozeboom's formula-based estimates of population squared cross-validity in combination with a factor score method offer the most for practitioners…

When either regression models or subjectively-weighted models are used as aids in making placement decisions, the discriminant validity of these models is questioned. The validity of several regression models and of subjectively weighted models was investigated in two experiments. (Author/JKS)