Probability and independence are difficult concepts, as they require the coordination of multiple ideas. This qualitative research study used clinical interviews to understand how three undergraduate students conceptualize probability and probabilistic independence within the theoretical framework of APOS theory. One student's reasoning was…

This paper presents a comparison of three approaches to the teaching of probability to demonstrate how the truth table of elementary mathematical logic can be used to teach the calculations of conditional probabilities. Students are typically introduced to the topic of conditional probabilities--especially the ones that involve Bayes' rule--with…

Augustus De Morgan (1806-1871) was a significant Victorian Mathematician who made contributions to mathematics history, mathematical recreations, mathematical logic, calculus, and probability and statistics. He was an inspiring mathematics professor who influenced many of his students to join the profession. One of De Morgan's significant books…

In this article, the author offers a "Pierce-ing," rational dissection of the notion of cultural equivalence that exposes the hypocrisy of its purveyors. He tackles three major argument lines--the Probabilities Argument, the Internal-Division Argument, and the Change Argument--and proves that it is simply very improbable that culture, in any…

Bayes's theorem is notorious for being a difficult topic to learn and to teach. Problems involving Bayes's theorem (either implicitly or explicitly) generally involve calculations based on two or more given probabilities and their complements. Further, a correct solution depends on students' ability to interpret the problem correctly. Most people…

The traditional approach to expressing cumulants in terms of moments is by expansion of the cumulant generating function which is represented as an embedded power series of the moments. The moments are then obtained in terms of cumulants through successive reverse substitutions. In this note we demonstrate how cumulant-moment relations are…

In this note we consider an experiment involving an urn and k balls with numbers 1, 2, 3, ..., k. The experiment consists of drawing n balls either with replacement or without replacement. We note some surprising results.

Three basic theorems concerning expected values and variances of sums and products of random variables play an important role in mathematical statistics and its applications in education, business, the social sciences, and the natural sciences. A solid understanding of these theorems requires that students be familiar with the proofs of these…

In this issue's "Classroom Notes" section, the following papers are discussed: (1) "Constructing a line segment whose length is equal to the measure of a given angle" (W. Jacob and T. J. Osler); (2) "Generating functions for the powers of Fibonacci sequences" (D. Terrana and H. Chen); (3) "Evaluation of mean and variance integrals without…

Explains a new way of viewing Bayes' formula. Discusses the revision factor and its interpretation. (YP)