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Ethan R. Van Norman; Emily R. Forcht – Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 2024
This study evaluated the forecasting accuracy of trend estimation methods applied to time-series data from computer adaptive tests (CATs). Data were collected roughly once a month over the course of a school year. We evaluated the forecasting accuracy of two regression-based growth estimation methods (ordinary least squares and Theil-Sen). The…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity, Predictor Variables
Reyes, Roland S.; McDermott, Paul A.; Watkins, Marley W.; Rovine, Michael J.; Chao, Jessica L. – School Psychology Review, 2020
This study compared the relative contribution of earliest assessment of preschool children's context-specific problem behaviors with subsequent observations of those behaviors for the prediction of later academic and sociobehavioral performance in first grade. Using a nationally representative sample of low-income children from the Head Start…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Predictive Validity, Preschool Children, Behavior Problems
Jimerson, Shane R.; Hong, Sehee; Stage, Scott; Gerber, Michael – Journal of New Approaches in Educational Research, 2013
Students' oral reading fluency growth from first through fourth grade was used to predict their achievement on the Stanford Achievement Test (9th ed.; SAT-9 Reading) using a latent growth model. Two conditional variables related to student status were used to determine the effects on reading performance--English language learners (ELLs) with low…
Descriptors: Reading Fluency, Oral Reading, English Language Learners, Native Speakers

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