The National Center for Education Statistics collects annual data on the number of bachelor's degrees conferred by institutions of higher education in the United States and on the number of persons who enter college as first-time freshmen. Compares the relationship between the two sets of data. (Author/RK)

Based on sample data representing five years of monthly circulation totals from 50 academic libraries in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, and Ohio, a study was conducted to determine the most efficient smoothing forecasting methods for academic libraries. Smoothing forecasting methods were chosen because they have been characterized…

Several studies have attempted to hypothesize about the probable effects on student academic performance at the Commonwealth campus versus Unitersity Park freshman admission for the Pennsylvania State University. This report imposes a framework of predictive modelling on the data in order to derive some notion of the weight of variables in…

The predictive validity of the equation used for determining entrance into the University of Washington's freshman class during the 1978-79 academic year is examined. The sample was comprised of all freshmen entering the university directly from high school in autumn quarter 1974 who had been tested through the Washington Pre-College Test Battery…

The potential impact over a five-year period of various social security proposals upon independent colleges and universities was examined in a survey of 114 institutions. The survey encompassed only administrative, faculty, and staff salaries, and excluded nonprofessional salaries and wages. Data concerning the average increases of employer costs…

A recent study of "A Better Chance" students indicates that minority students do succeed at selective colleges but that their successes cannot be predicted by SAT scores alone. Findings of a study of 334 black and Spanish-surnamed students enrolled at 20 top American colleges are reported. (LBH)

A model of student college choice decision was formulated and empirically tested to be used as the basis to estimate the probability of whether a student would enter a particular college. Three components of the model were students' personal characteristics, the admissions process that the students experience, and college characteristics.…

The extent to which the Pharmacy College Admissions Test and other admissions criteria predict (1) academic performance during later years at Virginia Commonwealth University School of Pharmacy, and (2) scores on the National Association of Boards of Pharmacy Licensing Examination (NABPLEX), and a board of pharmacy law examination are assessed.…

Two methods were used to project college and university enrollment in South Carolina: the age ratio method, which correlates college attendance with the population of traditional college age; and the cohort survival method, using historical data on the progression of students from high school to and through college. The projections indicate that…

A visual display is introduced that enables one to compare the predictive validities of all possible non-negatively weighted sums of two predictors. This two-predictor validity curve assesses the level of predictability of a criterion from composites of two predictors. Derivations are presented for the general case. For illustrative purposes, the…

In 1979, the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE) began its high school graduates by state projections. The three editions issued since that time have been widely used. This report provides an analysis of the accuracy of the WICHE's projections and an examination of the cohort survival method used to generate the projections.…

Default on guaranteed student loans has been increasing. The use of discriminant analysis as a technique to identify "good" v "bad" student loans based on information available from the loan application is discussed. Research to test the ability of models to such predictions is reported. (Author/MLW)

TO DETERMINE HOW EFFECTIVELY THE COOPERATIVE ENGLISH TEST PREDICTS STUDENT SUCCESS IN FRESHMAN ENGLISH AT STOCKTON COLLEGE, THIS STUDY WAS CONDUCTED (1) TO OBTAIN STATISTICAL COMPARISONS BETWEEN FINAL SEMESTER GRADES OF A SAMPLE OF THE COLLEGE TRANSFER POPULATION WITH THE WHOLE TEST AND EACH OF ITS PARTS, (2) TO ANALYZE BY PERCENTAGES THE…

Published reports and papers pertaining to the validity of measures commonly used at college entrance are reviewed and summarized in this report. These measures consist of various types of academic quantitative indices used to describe the high school record and various types of academic tests. The data are categorized by sex and ethnic…

As a followup study, the academic performance of 120 black students who entered North Carolina State University as new freshmen in the fall of 1970, 1971, and 1972 was examined in order to determine whether the University Predicted Grade Average (UPGA) equation is biased for black students. Major findings are: (1) for both marginal black students…