In a complex sampling scheme it is desirable to select the primary sampling units (PSUs) without replacement to prevent duplications in the sample. Since the estimation of the sampling variances is more complicated when the PSUs are selected without replacement, L. Kish (1965) recommends that the variance be calculated using the formulas…

After a review of the disadvantages of linear models for estimating the probability of academic success from previous school records and admission test results, the use of a probit model is proposed. The model is illustrated with admissions data from the Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales in Montreal. (Author/BW)

Latent class models for mastery testing differ from continuum models in that they do not postulate a latent mastery continuum but conceive mastery and non-mastery as two latent classes, each characterized by different probabilities of success. Several researchers use a simple latent class model that is basically a simultaneous application of the…

Testing with personal probabilities eliminates guessing whether the subjects are well calibrated. A probability testing study with 47 Dutch elementary school children who used an interactive computer program shows that even 11-year-olds can estimate their personal probabilities correctly. (SLD)

In multiple-choice items the response probability on an item may be viewed as the result of two distinct latent processes--a cognitive process to solve the problem, and another random process that leads to the choice of a certain alternative (the process of giving the actual response). An incomplete latent class model is formulated that describes…

Data taken primarily from the Australian Youth Survey were used to model unemployment as a function of personal characteristics, family structure, and neighborhood composition using binomial probit estimation techniques. The cross-sectional model developed indicated that significant neighborhood effects on unemployment outcomes exist in high- and…