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National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER), 2016
This work asks one simple question: "how reliable is the method used by the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) to estimate projected rates of VET program completion?" In other words, how well do early projections align with actual completion rates some years later? Completion rates are simple to calculate with a…
Descriptors: Vocational Education, Graduation Rate, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
Song, Qiang; Chissom, Brad S. – 1993
Since university enrollment forecasting is very important, many different methods and models have been proposed by researchers. Two new methods for enrollment forecasting are introduced: (1) the fuzzy time series model; and (2) the artificial neural networks model. Fuzzy time series has been proposed to deal with forecasting problems within a…
Descriptors: Enrollment Projections, Enrollment Trends, Evaluation Methods, Higher Education
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Chang, Lin – New Directions for Institutional Research, 2006
Data-mining technology's predictive modeling was applied to enhance the prediction of enrollment behaviors of admitted applicants at a large state university. (Contains 4 tables and 6 figures.)
Descriptors: College Admission, Data Collection, Data Analysis, Models