Declining enrollment almost inevitably means reduction in force--specifically, in the number of teachers. The author of this paper maintains that this process need not be as traumatic as some think. He suggests basing teaching personnel needs on midyear enrollment projections, rather than on first-of-the-year projections, since the number of…

Since 1969, Eugene Public Schools District 4J, Oregon, has experienced enrollment decline. More specifically, partly because of population migration patterns, the district is suffering from two interrelated problems: (1) overall loss of students and (2) under-capacity schools in some neighborhoods and over-capacity schools in others. Enrollment…

As enrollments continue to decline, principals face new staffing problems, especially problems connected with reduction in force. One forecasting method useful for determining if enrollment will decline is the Keough Indicator Survey Scale, which contains questions about key community characterisitics. Administrators experiencing declining…

Principals, assistant principals, and headmasters tell how their schools are coping with declining enrollments. (IRT)

This chapter of "Principles of School Business Management" looks at the role of the school business official in an era of declining enrollments. Following an introductory review of national enrollment trends, the chapter discusses the use of the cohort survival technique for enrollment projection. The focus then shifts to the impact of enrollment…

This report from the Chancellor to the Board of Governors of the California Community Colleges highlights the consequences of 1983-84 budget cuts for the state's community colleges. First, the projected effects of the Governor's veto of $232 million in community college funding are outlined, i.e., a 12% decline in real buying power for the…

This annotated bibliography reflects an attempt to indicate the range and quality of published responses to the complex phenomenon of declining enrollments in elementary and secondary schools. It is intended to suggest sources of practical information and advice and to provide a larger context for administrators coping with the effects of decline…

This document analyzes the nature and magnitude of enrollment declines that are projected for British Columbia school districts and discusses the implications of reduced enrollment for policy and practice at both provincial and school district levels. In presenting the implications of enrollment decline, the report deals with enrollment…

Declining enrollment means that school districts must engage in thoughtful, thorough planning to cope with this trend, according to the author. His paper outlines a process for school closing, including ways to involve the community in the decision-making process, thereby reducing the likelihood of community conflict and preserving the school…

The papers in this collection were presented at a midwest regional conference on enrollment decline and school closing. The papers deal with such topics as analyzing enrollment decline, examining trends in school enrollment and demography, and strengthening the educational program, as well as school facilities, public opinion and school closing,…

This chapter of "The Best of the Best of ERIC," Volume 2, contains 15 summaries of documents and journal articles on declining enrollments, all of which are indexed in either "Resources in Education" or "Current Index to Journals in Education." The materials included deal with various aspects of this topic, such as…

Published in conjuction with a planning assistance manual (EA008692), this case study examines the impact of declining enrollment on one suburban Minnesota school district. To cope with enrollment decline, the district sought to maintain a balanced budget and to preserve as nearly as possible its existing educational programs. It also sought…

Population growth in the United States has declined since the early 1970s. As a result of the lower birth rate and changing migration patterns, approximately one-third of the school districts in the country have experienced some drop in enrollment. Smaller districts are the hardest hit by enrollment decline, since they are less able to absorb the…

The rural school district examined in this case study is the smallest of the five covered in this series, which is published in conjuction with a planning manual on declining enrollment. The principal issue in this Minnesota district is simply survival. Its initially small enrollment has shrunk even further, and enrollment projections indicate…

Continuing enrollment decline will affect South Carolina school districts in varying degrees during the next five to ten years. Demographic forecasting will remain an essential element in predicting the degree to which specific districts will be affected by enrollment changes. Every district will need to build a data base and develop the capacity…