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Hsu, Anne S.; Horng, Andy; Griffiths, Thomas L.; Chater, Nick – Cognitive Science, 2017
Identifying patterns in the world requires noticing not only unusual occurrences, but also unusual absences. We examined how people learn from absences, manipulating the extent to which an absence is expected. People can make two types of inferences from the absence of an event: either the event is possible but has not yet occurred, or the event…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Bayesian Statistics, Evidence, Prediction
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Sprenger, Amber; Dougherty, Michael R. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2012
We examined how decision makers generate and evaluate hypotheses when data are presented sequentially. In the first 2 experiments, participants learned the relationship between data and possible causes of the data in a virtual environment. Data were then presented iteratively, and participants either generated hypotheses they thought caused the…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Evidence, Sequential Approach, Cues
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Hauser, Carl; Thum, Yeow Meng; He, Wei; Ma, Lingling – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2015
When conducting item reviews, analysts evaluate an array of statistical and graphical information to assess the fit of a field test (FT) item to an item response theory model. The process can be tedious, particularly when the number of human reviews (HR) to be completed is large. Furthermore, such a process leads to decisions that are susceptible…
Descriptors: Test Items, Item Response Theory, Research Methodology, Decision Making
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Birnbaum, Michael H. – Psychological Review, 2011
This article contrasts 2 approaches to analyzing transitivity of preference and other behavioral properties in choice data. The approach of Regenwetter, Dana, and Davis-Stober (2011) assumes that on each choice, a decision maker samples randomly from a mixture of preference orders to determine whether "A" is preferred to "B." In contrast, Birnbaum…
Descriptors: Evidence, Testing, Computation, Probability
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Kettler, Ryan J.; Feeney-Kettler, Kelly A. – Psychology in the Schools, 2011
Universal screening is designed to be an efficient method for identifying preschool students with mental health problems, but prior to use, screening systems must be evaluated to determine their appropriateness within a specific setting. In this article, an evidence-based validity framework is applied to four screening systems for identifying…
Descriptors: Preschool Children, Screening Tests, Mental Health, Emotional Problems
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Bowers, Jeffrey S.; Davis, Colin J. – Psychological Bulletin, 2012
According to Bayesian theories in psychology and neuroscience, minds and brains are (near) optimal in solving a wide range of tasks. We challenge this view and argue that more traditional, non-Bayesian approaches are more promising. We make 3 main arguments. First, we show that the empirical evidence for Bayesian theories in psychology is weak.…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Psychology, Brain, Theories
International Association for Development of the Information Society, 2012
The IADIS CELDA 2012 Conference intention was to address the main issues concerned with evolving learning processes and supporting pedagogies and applications in the digital age. There had been advances in both cognitive psychology and computing that have affected the educational arena. The convergence of these two disciplines is increasing at a…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Academic Persistence, Academic Support Services, Access to Computers