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Grabinger, R. Scott; Jonassen, David H. – Performance and Instruction, 1989
This seventh in a series of articles discussing expert system construction focuses on two ways to create a structure that determines a decision: (1) rule-based, or deductive, implementation; and (2) example-based, or inductive, implementation. Probability factors and confidence levels are discussed, and an example is given for selecting an…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Deduction, Expert Systems, Induction
Peer reviewedMullet, Gary M. – Mathematics Teacher, 1980
Some counterintuitive ideas in probability are examined. In particular, for sequential selection procedure, such as drawing cards, it is shown that there is probabilistic advantage to drawing first (or early) relative to drawing last (or late) in the sequence. (Author/MK)
Descriptors: Decision Making, Game Theory, Mathematical Applications, Mathematics
Malinconico, S. Michael – Library Journal, 1985
This essay illustrates a technique for reducing the risks of capital investment decisions involving considerable sums for advanced technologies by considering its application to a problem that arises frequently in selection of automated library systems. Incomplete information, using available information, selecting a system, and consultants are…
Descriptors: Consultants, Decision Making, Electronic Equipment, Information Systems
