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Paterson, Kevin; Guerrero, Adam – Research in Higher Education Journal, 2023
Data from a moderately-selective state university in the Midwest is used to cross-examine the most appropriate data analytical techniques for predicting versus explaining college student persistence decisions. The current research provides an overview of the relative benefits of models specializing in prediction versus explanation with particular…
Descriptors: Prediction, Data Analysis, College Students, School Holding Power
Ayad Saknee – ProQuest LLC, 2024
Higher education institutes experience lower success rates in online learning environments compared to traditional learning. Students' engagement within the learning management system (LMS) is one of the main factors affecting students' academic performance and retention. This quantitative correlational-predictive study examined if, and to what…
Descriptors: Learning Management Systems, Academic Achievement, Predictive Validity, Learner Engagement
Camille Gasaway Pace – ProQuest LLC, 2021
Even with extensive retention research dating from the 1960s, community colleges still struggle to identify the reasons why students do not return to college. Data mining has allowed these retention models to evolve to identify new patterns among student populations and variables. The purpose of this study was to create a predictive model for…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, School Holding Power, College Freshmen, Information Retrieval
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Krumm, Andrew E.; Beattie, Rachel; Takahashi, Sola; D'Angelo, Cynthia; Feng, Mingyu; Cheng, Britte – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2016
This paper outlines the development of practical measures of productive persistence using digital learning system data. Practical measurement refers to data collection and analysis approaches originating from improvement science; productive persistence refers to the combination of academic and social mindsets as well as learning behaviours that…
Descriptors: Measurement, Persistence, Electronic Learning, Data Analysis
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Durand, Guillaume; Goutte, Cyril; Léger, Serge – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2018
Knowledge tracing is a fundamental area of educational data modeling that aims at gaining a better understanding of the learning occurring in tutoring systems. Knowledge tracing models fit various parameters on observed student performance and are evaluated through several goodness of fit metrics. Fitted parameter values are of crucial interest in…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Models, Goodness of Fit, Predictive Validity
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Conijn, Rianne; Snijders, Chris; Kleingeld, Ad; Matzat, Uwe – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2017
With the adoption of Learning Management Systems (LMSs) in educational institutions, a lot of data has become available describing students' online behavior. Many researchers have used these data to predict student performance. This has led to a rather diverse set of findings, possibly related to the diversity in courses and predictor variables…
Descriptors: Blended Learning, Predictor Variables, Predictive Validity, Predictive Measurement
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Fick, Sarah J.; Songer, Nancy Butler – Journal of Education in Science, Environment and Health, 2017
Recent reforms emphasize a shift in how students should learn and demonstrate knowledge of science. These reforms call for students to learn content knowledge using science and engineering practices, creating integrated science knowledge. While there is existing literature about the development of integrated science knowledge assessments, few…
Descriptors: Climate, Middle School Students, Integrated Activities, Scientific Literacy
Pascopella, Angela – District Administration, 2012
Predicting the future is now in the hands of K12 administrators. While for years districts have collected thousands of pieces of student data, educators have been using them only for data-driven decision-making or formative assessments, which give a "rear-view" perspective only. Now, using predictive analysis--the pulling together of data over…
Descriptors: Expertise, Prediction, Decision Making, Data
Castro, Francisco Enrique Vicente; Adjei, Seth; Colombo, Tyler; Heffernan, Neil – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
A great deal of research in educational data mining is geared towards predicting student performance. Bayesian Knowledge Tracing, Performance Factors Analysis, and the different variations of these have been introduced and have had some success at predicting student knowledge. It is worth noting, however, that very little has been done to…
Descriptors: Models, Student Behavior, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Data Analysis
Soland, Jim – Phi Delta Kappan, 2015
Predictive analytics in education can offer a benefit as long as educators heed the differences between how the tools are used in industry and how they should be used differently in schooling. Perhaps most important, teachers already know a great deal about their students--far more than an investor knows about a stock or a baseball scout about an…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Validity, Teacher Student Relationship, Familiarity
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Kalkbrenner, Mike; Hernández, Thomas J. – Community College Journal of Research and Practice, 2017
The prevalence of school shootings and other campus violence incidents have called attention to the increasing number of college students who are living with Mental Health Disorders (MHDs). There is a substantial amount of literature on MHDs among college students who are attending 4-year universities. However, the literature is lacking research…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, Risk, Mental Health, Mental Health Programs
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Jayaprakash, Sandeep M.; Moody, Erik W.; Lauría, Eitel J. M.; Regan, James R.; Baron, Joshua D. – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2014
The Open Academic Analytics Initiative (OAAI) is a collaborative, multi-year grant program aimed at researching issues related to the scaling up of learning analytics technologies and solutions across all of higher education. The paper describes the goals and objectives of the OAAI, depicts the process and challenges of collecting, organizing and…
Descriptors: At Risk Students, College Students, Open Source Technology, Data Analysis
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Cho, Moon-Heum; Yoo, Jin Soung – Interactive Learning Environments, 2017
Many researchers who are interested in studying students' online self-regulated learning (SRL) have heavily relied on self-reported surveys. Data mining is an alternative technique that can be used to discover students' SRL patterns from large data logs saved on a course management system. The purpose of this study was to identify students' online…
Descriptors: Online Courses, Self Management, Active Learning, Data Analysis
Shanshan Wang; Carrie Biales; Ying Guo; Allison Breit-Smith – Sage Research Methods Cases, 2017
This case study uses structural equation modeling to examine the predictive validity of the Read Aloud Profile-Together, a measure of the distinct behaviors of parents and children during shared book reading, in relation to preschool children's early reading competency. Using secondary data analysis, this case study includes 800 parent-child pairs…
Descriptors: Predictive Validity, Preschool Children, Books, Reading Skills
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Cawthon, Stephanie W.; Caemmerer, Jacqueline M.; Dickson, Duncan M.; Ocuto, Oscar L.; Ge, Jinjin; Bond, Mark P. – Applied Developmental Science, 2015
Social skills function as a vehicle by which we negotiate important relationships and navigate the transition from childhood into the educational and professional experiences of early adulthood. Yet, for individuals who are deaf, access to these opportunities may vary depending on their preferred language modality, family language use, and…
Descriptors: Predictor Variables, Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity
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