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Liu, Haiyan; Zhang, Zhiyong; Grimm, Kevin J. – Grantee Submission, 2016
Growth curve modeling provides a general framework for analyzing longitudinal data from social, behavioral, and educational sciences. Bayesian methods have been used to estimate growth curve models, in which priors need to be specified for unknown parameters. For the covariance parameter matrix, the inverse Wishart prior is most commonly used due…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Growth Models
Choi, Kilchan; Kim, Jinok – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2019
This article proposes a latent variable regression four-level hierarchical model (LVR-HM4) that uses a fully Bayesian approach. Using multisite multiple-cohort longitudinal data, for example, annual assessment scores over grades for students who are nested within cohorts within schools, the LVR-HM4 attempts to simultaneously model two types of…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Longitudinal Studies, Cohort Analysis
Gobert, Janice D.; Moussavi, Raha; Li, Haiying; Sao Pedro, Michael; Dickler, Rachel – Grantee Submission, 2018
This chapter addresses students' data interpretation, a key NGSS inquiry practice, with which students have several different types of difficulties. In this work, we unpack the difficulties associated with data interpretation from those associated with warranting claims. We do this within the context of Inq-ITS (Inquiry Intelligent Tutoring…
Descriptors: Scaffolding (Teaching Technique), Data Interpretation, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Science Instruction
Kim, Sooyeon; Moses, Tim – ETS Research Report Series, 2016
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the extent to which item response theory (IRT) proficiency estimation methods are robust to the presence of aberrant responses under the "GRE"® General Test multistage adaptive testing (MST) design. To that end, a wide range of atypical response behaviors affecting as much as 10% of the test items…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Computation, Robustness (Statistics), Response Style (Tests)
Pan, Yilin – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2016
Given the necessity to bridge the gap between what happened and what is likely to happen, this paper aims to explore how to apply Bayesian inference to cost-effectiveness analysis so as to capture the uncertainty of a ratio-type efficiency measure. The first part of the paper summarizes the characteristics of the evaluation data that are commonly…
Descriptors: Resource Allocation, Cost Effectiveness, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis
Kim, Sooyeon; Moses, Tim; Yoo, Hanwook – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2015
This inquiry is an investigation of item response theory (IRT) proficiency estimators' accuracy under multistage testing (MST). We chose a two-stage MST design that includes four modules (one at Stage 1, three at Stage 2) and three difficulty paths (low, middle, high). We assembled various two-stage MST panels (i.e., forms) by manipulating two…
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Item Response Theory, Computation, Accuracy
Csibra, Gergely; Hernik, Mikolaj; Mascaro, Olivier; Tatone, Denis; Lengyel, Máté – Developmental Psychology, 2016
Looking times (LTs) are frequently measured in empirical research on infant cognition. We analyzed the statistical distribution of LTs across participants to develop recommendations for their treatment in infancy research. Our analyses focused on a common within-subject experimental design, in which longer looking to novel or unexpected stimuli is…
Descriptors: Eye Movements, Time, Statistical Distributions, Infants
Choi, In-Hee; Wilson, Mark – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2015
An essential feature of the linear logistic test model (LLTM) is that item difficulties are explained using item design properties. By taking advantage of this explanatory aspect of the LLTM, in a mixture extension of the LLTM, the meaning of latent classes is specified by how item properties affect item difficulties within each class. To improve…
Descriptors: Classification, Test Items, Difficulty Level, Statistical Analysis
Liang, Longjuan; Browne, Michael W. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2015
If standard two-parameter item response functions are employed in the analysis of a test with some newly constructed items, it can be expected that, for some items, the item response function (IRF) will not fit the data well. This lack of fit can also occur when standard IRFs are fitted to personality or psychopathology items. When investigating…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Statistical Analysis, Goodness of Fit, Bayesian Statistics
Guarino, Cassandra M.; Maxfield, Michelle; Reckase, Mark D.; Thompson, Paul N.; Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2015
Empirical Bayes's (EB) estimation has become a popular procedure used to calculate teacher value added, often as a way to make imprecise estimates more reliable. In this article, we review the theory of EB estimation and use simulated and real student achievement data to study the ability of EB estimators to properly rank teachers. We compare the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Teacher Evaluation, Teacher Effectiveness
Chung, Yeojin; Gelman, Andrew; Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia; Liu, Jingchen; Dorie, Vincent – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2015
When fitting hierarchical regression models, maximum likelihood (ML) estimation has computational (and, for some users, philosophical) advantages compared to full Bayesian inference, but when the number of groups is small, estimates of the covariance matrix (S) of group-level varying coefficients are often degenerate. One can do better, even from…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference
Chung, Yeojin; Gelman, Andrew; Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia; Liu, Jingchen; Dorie, Vincent – Grantee Submission, 2015
When fitting hierarchical regression models, maximum likelihood (ML) estimation has computational (and, for some users, philosophical) advantages compared to full Bayesian inference, but when the number of groups is small, estimates of the covariance matrix [sigma] of group-level varying coefficients are often degenerate. One can do better, even…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference
Martori, Francesc; Cuadros, Jordi; González-Sabaté, Lucinio – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Student modeling can help guide the behavior of a cognitive tutor system and provide insight to researchers on understanding how students learn. In this context, Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is one of the most popular knowledge inference models due to its predictive accuracy, interpretability and ability to infer student knowledge. However,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Inferences, Prediction, Accuracy
Sen, Sedat – International Journal of Testing, 2018
Recent research has shown that over-extraction of latent classes can be observed in the Bayesian estimation of the mixed Rasch model when the distribution of ability is non-normal. This study examined the effect of non-normal ability distributions on the number of latent classes in the mixed Rasch model when estimated with maximum likelihood…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Comparative Analysis, Computation, Maximum Likelihood Statistics
Wu, Mike; Davis, Richard L.; Domingue, Benjamin W.; Piech, Chris; Goodman, Noah – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2020
Item Response Theory (IRT) is a ubiquitous model for understanding humans based on their responses to questions, used in fields as diverse as education, medicine and psychology. Large modern datasets offer opportunities to capture more nuances in human behavior, potentially improving test scoring and better informing public policy. Yet larger…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Accuracy, Data Analysis, Public Policy

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