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Trumpower, David L. – Mathematical Thinking and Learning: An International Journal, 2013
Students' informal inferential reasoning (IIR) is often inconsistent with the normative logic underlying formal statistical methods such as Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), even after instruction. In two experiments reported here, student's IIR was assessed using an intuitive ANOVA task at the beginning and end of a statistics course. In both…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Intuition, Inferences, Thinking Skills
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McKenzie, Craig R. M. – Cognitive Psychology, 1994
Through Monte Carlo simulation, respective normative and intuitive strategies for covariation assessment and Bayesian inference are compared. Results indicate that better performance in both tasks results from considering alternative hypotheses, although not necessarily using a normative strategy. Conditions under which intuitive strategies may be…
Descriptors: Analysis of Covariance, Bayesian Statistics, Comparative Analysis, Decision Making