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Michael Nagel; Lukas Fischer; Tim Pawlowski; Augustin Kelava – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
Bayesian estimations of complex regression models with high-dimensional parameter spaces require advanced priors, capable of addressing both sparsity and multicollinearity in the data. The Dirichlet-horseshoe, a new prior distribution that combines and expands on the concepts of the regularized horseshoe and the Dirichlet-Laplace priors, is a…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Computation, Statistical Distributions
Yongyun Shin; Stephen W. Raudenbush – Grantee Submission, 2025
Consider the conventional multilevel model Y=C[gamma]+Zu+e where [gamma] represents fixed effects and (u,e) are multivariate normal random effects. The continuous outcomes Y and covariates C are fully observed with a subset Z of C. The parameters are [theta]=([gamma],var(u),var(e)). Dempster, Rubin and Tsutakawa (1981) framed the estimation as a…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Maximum Likelihood Statistics, Sampling, Error of Measurement
Teague R. Henry; Zachary F. Fisher; Kenneth A. Bollen – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
Model-Implied Instrumental Variable Two-Stage Least Squares (MIIV-2SLS) is a limited information, equation-by-equation, noniterative estimator for latent variable models. Associated with this estimator are equation-specific tests of model misspecification. One issue with equation-specific tests is that they lack specificity, in that they indicate…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Least Squares Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Equations (Mathematics)
Gibson, C. Ben; Sutton, Jeannette; Vos, Sarah K.; Butts, Carter T. – Sociological Methods & Research, 2023
Microblogging sites have become important data sources for studying network dynamics and information transmission. Both areas of study, however, require accurate counts of indegree, or follower counts; unfortunately, collection of complete time series on follower counts can be limited by application programming interface constraints, system…
Descriptors: Social Networks, Network Analysis, Social Media, Mathematics
Bayesian Logistic Regression: A New Method to Calibrate Pretest Items in Multistage Adaptive Testing
TsungHan Ho – Applied Measurement in Education, 2023
An operational multistage adaptive test (MST) requires the development of a large item bank and the effort to continuously replenish the item bank due to concerns about test security and validity over the long term. New items should be pretested and linked to the item bank before being used operationally. The linking item volume fluctuations in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Test Items, Pretesting
Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Grantee Submission, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. (2020) estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
Cornelis Potgieter; Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2024
As part of the effort to develop an improved oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment system, Kara et al. estimated the ORF scores based on a latent variable psychometric model of accuracy and speed for ORF data via a fully Bayesian approach. This study further investigates likelihood-based estimators for the model-derived ORF scores, including…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Scores, Psychometrics
Edelsbrunner, Peter A.; Flaig, Maja; Schneider, Michael – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2023
Latent transition analysis is an informative statistical tool for depicting heterogeneity in learning as latent profiles. We present a Monte Carlo simulation study to guide researchers in selecting fit indices for identifying the correct number of profiles. We simulated data representing profiles of learners within a typical pre- post- follow…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Profiles, Monte Carlo Methods, Bayesian Statistics
Kenneth Tyler Wilcox; Ross Jacobucci; Zhiyong Zhang; Brooke A. Ammerman – Grantee Submission, 2023
Text is a burgeoning data source for psychological researchers, but little methodological research has focused on adapting popular modeling approaches for text to the context of psychological research. One popular measurement model for text, topic modeling, uses a latent mixture model to represent topics underlying a body of documents. Recently,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Content Analysis, Undergraduate Students, Self Destructive Behavior
Ari Decter-Frain; Pratik Sachdeva; Loren Collingwood; Hikari Murayama; Juandalyn Burke; Matt Barreto; Scott Henderson; Spencer Wood; Joshua Zingher – Sociological Methods & Research, 2025
We consider the cascading effects of researcher decisions throughout the process of quantifying racially polarized voting (RPV). We contrast three methods of estimating precinct racial composition, Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), fully Bayesian BISG, and Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP), and two algorithms for performing ecological…
Descriptors: Voting, Computation, Racial Composition, Bayesian Statistics
Huan Liu; Won-Chan Lee – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2025
This study investigates the estimation of classification consistency and accuracy indices for composite summed and theta scores within the SS-MIRT framework, using five popular approaches, including the Lee, Rudner, Guo, Bayesian EAP, and Bayesian MCMC approaches. The procedures are illustrated through analysis of two real datasets and further…
Descriptors: Classification, Reliability, Accuracy, Item Response Theory
Han Du; Brian Keller; Egamaria Alacam; Craig Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Comparative Analysis, Probability
Vincent Dorie; George Perrett; Jennifer L. Hill; Benjamin Goodrich – Grantee Submission, 2022
A wide range of machine-learning-based approaches have been developed in the past decade, increasing our ability to accurately model nonlinear and nonadditive response surfaces. This has improved performance for inferential tasks such as estimating average treatment effects in situations where standard parametric models may not fit the data well.…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Causal Models, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
Roy Levy; Daniel McNeish – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
Research in education and behavioral sciences often involves the use of latent variable models that are related to indicators, as well as related to covariates or outcomes. Such models are subject to interpretational confounding, which occurs when fitting the model with covariates or outcomes alters the results for the measurement model. This has…
Descriptors: Models, Statistical Analysis, Measurement, Data Interpretation
Sangbaek Park – ProQuest LLC, 2024
This dissertation used synthetic datasets, semi-synthetic datasets, and a real-world dataset from an educational intervention to compare the performance of 15 machine learning and multiple imputation methods to estimate the individual treatment effect (ITE). In addition, it examined the performance of five evaluation metrics that can be used to…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Computation, Evaluation Methods, Bayesian Statistics

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