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Direct linkMiller, Jeff; Schwarz, Wolf – Psychological Methods, 2011
We study a model of the research process in which the true effect size, the replication jitter due to changes in experimental procedure, and the statistical error of effect size measurement are all normally distributed random variables. Within this model, we analyze the probability of successfully replicating an initial experimental result by…
Descriptors: Models, Research, Effect Size, Probability
Morey, Richard D.; Rouder, Jeffrey N. – Psychological Methods, 2011
Psychological theories are statements of constraint. The role of hypothesis testing in psychology is to test whether specific theoretical constraints hold in data. Bayesian statistics is well suited to the task of finding supporting evidence for constraint, because it allows for comparing evidence for 2 hypotheses against each another. One issue…
Descriptors: Evidence, Intervals, Testing, Hypothesis Testing
Iverson, Geoffrey J.; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan; Lee, Michael D. – Psychological Methods, 2010
The purpose of the recently proposed "p[subscript rep]" statistic is to estimate the probability of concurrence, that is, the probability that a replicate experiment yields an effect of the same sign (Killeen, 2005a). The influential journal "Psychological Science" endorses "p[subscript rep]" and recommends its use…
Descriptors: Effect Size, Evaluation Methods, Probability, Experiments
Cumming, Geoff – Psychological Methods, 2010
This comment offers three descriptions of "p[subscript rep]" that start with a frequentist account of confidence intervals, draw on R. A. Fisher's fiducial argument, and do not make Bayesian assumptions. Links are described among "p[subscript rep]," "p" values, and the probability a confidence interval will capture…
Descriptors: Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques, Research Methodology, Validity
