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Williams, Joseph J.; Griffiths, Thomas L. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2013
Errors in detecting randomness are often explained in terms of biases and misconceptions. We propose and provide evidence for an account that characterizes the contribution of the inherent statistical difficulty of the task. Our account is based on a Bayesian statistical analysis, focusing on the fact that a random process is a special case of…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Bias, Misconceptions, Statistical Analysis