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Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Hedges, Larry V. – Grantee Submission, 2021
Although statistical practices to evaluate intervention effects in SCEDs have gained prominence in the recent times, models are yet to incorporate and investigate all their analytic complexities. Most of these statistical models incorporate slopes and autocorrelations both of which contribute to trend in the data. The question that arises is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Accuracy, Computation
Dan Soriano; Eli Ben-Michael; Peter Bickel; Avi Feller; Samuel D. Pimentel – Grantee Submission, 2023
Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis framework for balancing weights estimators, an increasingly popular approach that solves an optimization problem to…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Computation, Mathematical Formulas, Monte Carlo Methods
Tianci Liu; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Multidimensional Item Response Theory (MIRT) is widely used in educational and psychological assessment and evaluation. With the increasing size of modern assessment data, many existing estimation methods become computationally demanding and hence they are not scalable to big data, especially for the multidimensional three-parameter and…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Computation, Monte Carlo Methods, Algorithms
April E. Cho; Jiaying Xiao; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Item factor analysis (IFA), also known as Multidimensional Item Response Theory (MIRT), is a general framework for specifying the functional relationship between a respondent's multiple latent traits and their response to assessment items. The key element in MIRT is the relationship between the items and the latent traits, so-called item factor…
Descriptors: Factor Analysis, Item Response Theory, Mathematics, Computation
Yao, Yuling; Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2022
When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods
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Xu Qin – Grantee Submission, 2023
When designing a study for causal mediation analysis, it is crucial to conduct a power analysis to determine the sample size required to detect the causal mediation effects with sufficient power. However, the development of power analysis methods for causal mediation analysis has lagged far behind. To fill the knowledge gap, I proposed a…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Statistical Analysis, Causal Models, Mediation Theory
Ben-Michael, Eli; Feller, Avi; Rothstein, Jesse – Grantee Submission, 2022
Staggered adoption of policies by different units at different times creates promising opportunities for observational causal inference. Estimation remains challenging, however, and common regression methods can give misleading results. A promising alternative is the synthetic control method (SCM), which finds a weighted average of control units…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Computation, Evaluation Methods
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Pustejovsky, James E. – Grantee Submission, 2018
A wide variety of effect size indices have been proposed for quantifying the magnitude of treatment effects in single-case designs. Commonly used measures include parametric indices such as the standardized mean difference, as well as non-overlap measures such as the percentage of non-overlapping data, improvement rate difference, and non-overlap…
Descriptors: Effect Size, Measurement Techniques, Monte Carlo Methods, Observation
Carpenter, Bob; Gelman, Andrew; Hoffman, Matthew D.; Lee, Daniel; Goodrich, Ben; Betancourt, Michael; Brubaker, Marcus A.; Guo, Jiqiang; Li, Peter; Riddell, Allen – Grantee Submission, 2017
Stan is a probabilistic programming language for specifying statistical models. A Stan program imperatively defines a log probability function over parameters conditioned on specified data and constants. As of version 2.14.0, Stan provides full Bayesian inference for continuous-variable models through Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as the…
Descriptors: Programming Languages, Probability, Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods
Potgieter, Cornelis; Kamata, Akihito; Kara, Yusuf – Grantee Submission, 2017
This study proposes a two-part model that includes components for reading accuracy and reading speed. The speed component is a log-normal factor model, for which speed data are measured by reading time for each sentence being assessed. The accuracy component is a binomial-count factor model, where the accuracy data are measured by the number of…
Descriptors: Reading Rate, Oral Reading, Accuracy, Models
Zhang, Zhiyong – Grantee Submission, 2016
Growth curve models are widely used in social and behavioral sciences. However, typical growth curve models often assume that the errors are normally distributed although non-normal data may be even more common than normal data. In order to avoid possible statistical inference problems in blindly assuming normality, a general Bayesian framework is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Statistical Distributions, Computation
Porter, Kristin E. – Grantee Submission, 2017
Researchers are often interested in testing the effectiveness of an intervention on multiple outcomes, for multiple subgroups, at multiple points in time, or across multiple treatment groups. The resulting multiplicity of statistical hypothesis tests can lead to spurious findings of effects. Multiple testing procedures (MTPs) are statistical…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Program Effectiveness, Intervention, Hypothesis Testing
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Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – Grantee Submission, 2015
Regression, weighting and related approaches to estimating a population mean from a sample with nonrandom missing data often rely on the assumption that conditional on covariates, observed samples can be treated as random. Standard methods using this assumption generally will fail to yield consistent estimators when covariates are measured with…
Descriptors: Simulation, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Bias