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Liyang Sun; Eli Ben-Michael; Avi Feller – Grantee Submission, 2024
The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit with panel data. Two challenges arise with higher frequency data (e.g., monthly versus yearly): (1) achieving excellent pre-treatment fit is typically more challenging; and (2) overfitting to noise is more likely. Aggregating data…
Descriptors: Evaluation Methods, Comparative Analysis, Computation, Data Analysis
Larry V. Hedges; William R. Shadish; Prathiba Natesan Batley – Grantee Submission, 2022
Currently the design standards for single case experimental designs (SCEDs) are based on validity considerations as prescribed by the What Works Clearinghouse. However, there is a need for design considerations such as power based on statistical analyses. We compute and derive power using computations for (AB)[superscript k] designs with multiple…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Research Design, Computation, Case Studies
Haiyan Liu; Wen Qu; Zhiyong Zhang; Hao Wu – Grantee Submission, 2022
Bayesian inference for structural equation models (SEMs) is increasingly popular in social and psychological sciences owing to its flexibility to adapt to more complex models and the ability to include prior information if available. However, there are two major hurdles in using the traditional Bayesian SEM in practice: (1) the information nested…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Statistical Inference, Statistical Distributions
Eli Ben-Michael; Avi Feller; Erin Hartman – Grantee Submission, 2023
In the November 2016 U.S. presidential election, many state level public opinion polls, particularly in the Upper Midwest, incorrectly predicted the winning candidate. One leading explanation for this polling miss is that the precipitous decline in traditional polling response rates led to greater reliance on statistical methods to adjust for the…
Descriptors: Public Opinion, National Surveys, Elections, Political Campaigns
Clarissa A. Thompson; Pooja G. Sidney; Charles J. Fitzsimmons; Marta Mielicki; Lauren Schiller; Daniel A. Scheibe; John E. Opfer; Robert S. Siegler – Grantee Submission, 2022
In the target article, Xing and colleagues (2021) claimed that 6- to 8-year-olds who spontaneously referenced the midpoint of 0-100 number lines made more accurate magnitude estimates and scored higher on a standardized math achievement test than other children. Unlike previous studies, however, the authors found no relation between accuracy on…
Descriptors: Mathematics Skills, Young Children, Number Concepts, Accuracy
Benjamin Lu; Eli Ben-Michael; Avi Feller; Luke Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2022
In multisite trials, learning about treatment effect variation across sites is critical for understanding where and for whom a program works. Unadjusted comparisons, however, capture "compositional" differences in the distributions of unit-level features as well as "contextual" differences in site-level features, including…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Statistical Distributions, Program Implementation, Comparative Analysis
Allen, Laura K.; Creer, Sarah D.; Poulos, Mary Cati – Grantee Submission, 2021
Research in discourse processing has provided us with a strong foundation for understanding the characteristics of text and discourse, as well as their influence on our processing and representation of texts. However, recent advances in computational techniques have allowed researchers to examine discourse processes in new ways. The purpose of the…
Descriptors: Natural Language Processing, Computation, Discourse Analysis, Computer Science
Siegler, Robert S.; Im, Soo-hyun; Schiller, Lauren K.; Tian, Jing; Braithwaite, David W. – Grantee Submission, 2020
Children's failure to reason often leads to their mathematical performance being shaped by spurious associations from problem input and overgeneralization of inapplicable procedures rather than by whether answers and procedures make sense. In particular, imbalanced distributions of problems, particularly in textbooks, lead children to create…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Arithmetic, Numbers, Fractions
Gongjun Xu; Tony Sit; Lan Wang; Chiung-Yu Huang – Grantee Submission, 2017
Biased sampling occurs frequently in economics, epidemiology, and medical studies either by design or due to data collecting mechanism. Failing to take into account the sampling bias usually leads to incorrect inference. We propose a unified estimation procedure and a computationally fast resampling method to make statistical inference for…
Descriptors: Sampling, Statistical Inference, Computation, Generalization
Reardon, Sean F.; Unlu, Faith; Zhu, Pei; Bloom, Howard – Grantee Submission, 2013
We explore the use of instrumental variables (IV) analysis with a multi-site randomized trial to estimate the effect of a mediating variable on an outcome in cases where it can be assumed that the observed mediator is the only mechanism linking treatment assignment to outcomes, as assumption known in the instrumental variables literature as the…
Descriptors: Statistical Bias, Statistical Analysis, Least Squares Statistics, Sampling