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Caruso, Eugene M.; Waytz, Adam; Epley, Nicholas – Cognition, 2010
People can appear inconsistent in their intuitions about sequences of repeated events. Sometimes people believe such sequences will continue (the "hot hand"), and sometimes people believe they will reverse (the "gambler's fallacy"). These contradictory intuitions can be partly explained by considering the perceived intentionality of the agent…
Descriptors: Prediction, Intuition, Beliefs, Intention