ERIC Number: EJ1225208
Record Type: Journal
Publication Date: 2019
Pages: 15
Abstractor: As Provided
ISBN: N/A
ISSN: EISSN-1069-1898
EISSN: N/A
Available Date: N/A
Predicting the Kentucky Derby Winner! Sort of
Chance, Beth; Reynolds, Shea
Journal of Statistics Education, v27 n2 p120-127 2019
Through a series of explorations, this article will demonstrate how the Kentucky Derby winning times dataset provides various opportunities for introductory and advanced topics, from data processing to model building. Although the final goal may be a prediction interval, the dataset is rich enough for it to appear in several places in an introductory or second course in statistics. After adjusting for the change in track length and track condition, winning speed has an interesting nonlinear trend, with one notable outlier. Student investigations can range from validating the phrase "the most exciting two minutes in sports" to predicting the winning speed of next year's race using parallel polynomial models.
Descriptors: Prediction, Statistics, Data Processing, Homework, Assignments, Mathematical Models, Regression (Statistics), Introductory Courses, Teaching Methods, Mathematics Instruction
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Publication Type: Journal Articles; Reports - Descriptive; Tests/Questionnaires
Education Level: N/A
Audience: Teachers
Language: English
Sponsor: N/A
Authoring Institution: N/A
Grant or Contract Numbers: N/A
Author Affiliations: N/A