This study aimed to design and analyze activities that enable students to investigate the probabilities of compound events and the equiprobability bias by a perception-based design that foregrounds sample sets. Drawing on historical insights and prior research, we designed activities to guide students in exploring the probabilities of compound…

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been shown to be connected to a greater possibility of neurologically developed problems, such as autism spectrum disorders (ASDs). However, the proof linking parental IBD with ASD in offspring is inconclusive. Thus, we carried out a meta-analysis and comprehensive review to elucidate such linking. Prior…

Do children think of genetic inheritance as deterministic or probabilistic? In two novel tasks, children viewed the eye colors of animal parents and judged and selected possible phenotypes of offspring. Across three studies (N = 353, 162 girls, 172 boys, 2 non-binary; 17 did not report gender) with predominantly White U.S. participants collected…

This study aims to investigate the influence of an undergraduate course on teaching statistics and probability on the statistical knowledge of preservice mathematics teachers. Statistics Concept Inventory (SCI) was used to measure the statistical understanding of the participants. It was implemented at both the beginning and the end of the course.…

Recruiting and retaining a high-quality teacher workforce is a challenge for many of today's school leaders. One way to address this challenge is to understand the role of teachers' psychological experiences at work in their career decisions. Although substantial research has explored the role of negative psychological experiences (such as…

Background: Though approximately 80% of teachers are women, they hold only about 50% of all principalships, and just a quarter of superintendent positions (Finnan and McCord, 2017; Robinson et al., 2017; Tienken, 2021; White, 2023). When women do take on leadership positions, evidence suggests they tend to work in districts serving students with…

Humans implicitly pick up on probabilities of stimuli and events, yet it remains unclear how statistical learning builds expectations that affect perception. Across 29 experiments, we examine the influence of task-irrelevant distributions--defined across acoustic frequency--on both tone detection in noise and tone duration judgments. The shape and…

This study investigated 3- to 5-year-olds' (N = 64, 37 girls, 62.5% White, data collected between 2021-2022) ability to use probabilistic information gleaned through active search to appropriately change or maintain expectations. In an online fishing game, children first learned that one of two ponds was good for catching fish. During a subsequent…

In this article, we examine the relationship between self-reported opioid use and employment outcomes among Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) applicants who applied to SSDI in 2009. We use a machine learning method to identify opioids recorded in text fields on SSDI applications. Studying outcomes for 4 years after the U.S. Social…

Recent years have seen the development of many novel scoring tools for disease prognosis and prediction. To become accepted for use in clinical applications, these tools have to be validated on external data. In practice, validation is often hampered by logistical issues, resulting in multiple small-sized validation studies. It is therefore…

Diabetes mellitus is a challenging chronic health condition at the forefront of attention of the healthcare system. Important estimates quantifying how diabetes prevalence varies by age are available for the general population, but these estimates are poorly characterized among autistic adults. Improved diabetes prevalence and likelihood estimates…

Team has been widely applied in various fields, in which the collaboration efficiency of a team is the main consideration under the constraints of skill requirements. In educational scenarios, an educational institution usually builds a team of students with different skills to attend a competition, in which team communication cost and team…

The human capacity for rational decisions hinges on modal judgment: the discernment of what could, has to, or cannot happen. This ability was proposed to be a late outcome of human cognitive development, contingent on the mastery of linguistic structures. Here, we show that preschool-age children are capable of sophisticated forms of modal…

Background/purpose: This study investigates the probabilistic thinking process in solving probability problems by prospective mathematics teachers with a field-independent cognitive style. The objective is to explore how individuals with this cognitive style approach problem-solving based on the three stages of Polya's framework: understanding the…

This article presents two ways of quantifying confounding using logistic response models for binary outcomes. Drawing on the distinction between marginal and conditional odds ratios in statistics, we define two corresponding measures of confounding (marginal and conditional) that can be recovered from a simple standardization approach. We…