The temporal sequence of learning behavior is multidimensional and continuous in MOOCs. On the one hand, it supports personalized learning methods, achieves flexible time and space. On the other hand, it also makes MOOCs produce a large number of dropouts and incomplete learning behaviors. Dropout prediction and decision feedback have become an…

Distance Learning has enabled educational practices based on digital platforms, generating massive amounts of data. Several initiatives use this data to identify dropout contexts, mainly providing teacher support about student behavior. Approaches such as Active Methodologies are known as having good potential to involve and motivate students.…

Predictive learning analytics has been widely explored in educational research to improve student retention and academic success in an introductory programming course in computer science (CS1). General-purpose and interpretable dropout predictions still pose a challenge. Our study aims to reproduce and extend the data analysis of a privacy-first…

Online learning has become more popular in higher education since it adds convenience and flexibility to students' schedule. But, it has faced difficulties in the retention of the continuity of students and ensure continual growth in course. Dropout is a concerning factor in online course continuity. Therefore, it has sparked great interest among…

In studies that generate course recommendations based on similarity, the typical enrollment data used for model training consists only of one record per student-course pair. In this study, we explore and quantify the additional signal present in course transaction data, which includes a more granular account of student administrative interactions…

This paper introduces a novel approach to identify at-risk students with a focus on output interpretability through analyzing learning activities at a finer granularity on a weekly basis. Specifically, this approach converts the predicted output from the former weeks into meaningful probabilities to infer the predictions in the current week for…

No course exists in isolation, so examining student progression through courses within a broader program context is an important step in integrating course-level and program-level analytics. Integration in this manner allows us to see the impact of course-level changes to the program, as well as identify points in the program structure where…

The article aims to develop a machine-learning algorithm that can predict student's graduation in the Industrial Engineering course at the Federal University of Amazonas based on their performance data. The methodology makes use of an information package of 364 students with an admission period between 2007 and 2019, considering characteristics…

A significant amount of research has gone into predicting student performance and many studies have been conducted to predict why students drop out. A variety of data including digital footprints, socio-economic data, financial data, and psychological aspects have been used to predict student performance at the test, course, or program level.…

A combination of mathematical and statistical modelling techniques may be used to analyse student dropout behaviour. The aim of this study is to combine Survival Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process methodologies when identifying students at-risk of dropping out. This combination favours the institutional understanding of dropout as a dynamic…

This study presents a systematic review of the literature on the predicting student retention in higher education through machine learning algorithms based on measures such as dropout risk, attrition risk, and completion risk. A systematic review methodology was employed comprised of review protocol, requirements for study selection, and analysis…

Aimed at a massive outreach and open access education, Massive Open Online Courses (MOOC) has evolved incredibly engaging millions of learners' over the years. These courses provide an opportunity for learning analytics with respect to the diversity in learning activity. Inspite of its growth, high dropout rate of the learners', it is examined to…

Student success and drop-out predictions have gained increased attention in recent years, connected to the hope that by identifying struggling students, it is possible to intervene and provide early help and design programs based on patterns discovered by the models. Though by now many models exist achieving remarkable accuracy-values, models…

Participants' engagement in massive online open courses (MOOCs) is highly irregular and self-directed. It is well known in the field of television media that substantial parts of the audience tend to drop out at major episodic, or seasonal, closures, which makes creating cliff-hangers a crucial strategy to retain viewers (Bakker, 1993; Cazani,…

Replication of machine learning experiments can be a useful tool to evaluate how both "modeling" and "experimental design" contribute to experimental results; however, existing replication efforts focus almost entirely on modeling alone. In this work, we conduct a three-part replication case study of a state-of-the-art LSTM…