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Kaplan, David; Huang, Mingya – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2021
Of critical importance to education policy is monitoring trends in education outcomes over time. In the United States, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has provided long-term trend data since 1970; at the state/jurisdiction level, NAEP has provided long-term trend data since 1996. In addition to the national NAEP, all 50…
Descriptors: Educational Policy, Educational Trends, National Competency Tests, Bayesian Statistics
Liqun Yin; Ummugul Bezirhan; Matthias von Davier – International Electronic Journal of Elementary Education, 2025
This paper introduces an approach that uses latent class analysis to identify cut scores (LCA-CS) and categorize respondents based on context scales derived from largescale assessments like PIRLS, TIMSS, and NAEP. Context scales use Likert scale items to measure latent constructs of interest and classify respondents into meaningful ordered…
Descriptors: Multivariate Analysis, Cutting Scores, Achievement Tests, Foreign Countries
Qian, Jiahe – ETS Research Report Series, 2020
The finite population correction (FPC) factor is often used to adjust variance estimators for survey data sampled from a finite population without replacement. As a replicated resampling approach, the jackknife approach is usually implemented without the FPC factor incorporated in its variance estimates. A paradigm is proposed to compare the…
Descriptors: Computation, Sampling, Data, Statistical Analysis
Doz, Daniel; Doz, Eleonora – Mathematics Teaching Research Journal, 2022
A more motivating way of introducing students to probability theory is through real-world problems. Since heuristics play an important role in our probabilistic judgement, knowing how to avoid incorrect probabilistic reasoning, which leads to several biases, could help students to develop more critical thinking skills. In this paper, we present a…
Descriptors: Heuristics, Problem Solving, Mathematics Instruction, Probability
Dhlamini, Zwelithini Bongani – South African Journal of Education, 2021
In the study reported on here I evaluated the alignment between the Annual National Assessment (ANA) and Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS). Theoretical perspectives were drawn from the Survey Enacted Curriculum (SEC), while quantitative correlational methods were used to determine the alignment between ANA and TIMSS…
Descriptors: Alignment (Education), Grade 9, Achievement Tests, Foreign Countries
Qian, Jiahe – ETS Research Report Series, 2017
The variance formula derived for a two-stage sampling design without replacement employs the joint inclusion probabilities in the first-stage selection of clusters. One of the difficulties encountered in data analysis is the lack of information about such joint inclusion probabilities. One way to solve this issue is by applying Hájek's…
Descriptors: Mathematical Formulas, Computation, Sampling, Research Design
Culpepper, Steven Andrew – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2017
In the absence of clear incentives, achievement tests may be subject to the effect of slipping where item response functions have upper asymptotes below one. Slipping reduces score precision for higher latent scores and distorts test developers' understandings of item and test information. A multidimensional four-parameter normal ogive model was…
Descriptors: Measurement, Achievement Tests, Item Response Theory, National Competency Tests
Rakes, Christopher R.; Ronau, Robert N. – International Journal of Research in Education and Science, 2019
The present study examined the ability of content domain (algebra, geometry, rational number, probability) to classify mathematics misconceptions. The study was conducted with 1,133 students in 53 algebra and geometry classes taught by 17 teachers from three high schools and one middle school across three school districts in a Midwestern state.…
Descriptors: Mathematics Instruction, Secondary School Teachers, Middle School Teachers, Misconceptions
Malone, Amelia Schneider; Fuchs, Lynn S. – Grantee Submission, 2015
The 3 purposes of this study were to: (a) describe fraction ordering errors among at-risk 4th-grade students; (b) assess the effect of part-whole understanding and accuracy of fraction magnitude estimation on the probability of committing errors; and (c) examine the effect of students' ability to explain comparing problems on the probability of…
Descriptors: Error Patterns, Fractions, At Risk Students, Grade 4
Malone, Amelia S.; Fuchs, Lynn S. – Journal of Learning Disabilities, 2017
The three purposes of this study were to (a) describe fraction ordering errors among at-risk fourth grade students, (b) assess the effect of part-whole understanding and accuracy of fraction magnitude estimation on the probability of committing errors, and (c) examine the effect of students' ability to explain comparing problems on the probability…
Descriptors: Error Patterns, Fractions, Mathematics Instruction, At Risk Students
Lee, Jaekyung; Reeves, Todd – Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 2012
This study examines the impact of high-stakes school accountability, capacity, and resources under NCLB on reading and math achievement outcomes through comparative interrupted time-series analyses of 1990-2009 NAEP state assessment data. Through hierarchical linear modeling latent variable regression with inverse probability of treatment…
Descriptors: National Competency Tests, State Agencies, Probability, Accountability
Jia, Yue; Stokes, Lynne; Harris, Ian; Wang, Yan – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2011
In this article, we consider estimation of parameters of random effects models from samples collected via complex multistage designs. Incorporation of sampling weights is one way to reduce estimation bias due to unequal probabilities of selection. Several weighting methods have been proposed in the literature for estimating the parameters of…
Descriptors: Sampling, Computation, Statistical Bias, Statistical Analysis
Ho, Andrew Dean – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2009
Problems of scale typically arise when comparing test score trends, gaps, and gap trends across different tests. To overcome some of these difficulties, test score distributions on the same score scale can be represented by nonparametric graphs or statistics that are invariant under monotone scale transformations. This article motivates and then…
Descriptors: Nonparametric Statistics, Comparative Analysis, Trend Analysis, Scores
Xu, Xueli; von Davier, Matthias – ETS Research Report Series, 2008
Xu and von Davier (2006) demonstrated the feasibility of using the general diagnostic model (GDM) to analyze National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) proficiency data. Their work showed that the GDM analysis not only led to conclusions for gender and race groups similar to those published in the NAEP Report Card, but also allowed…
Descriptors: National Competency Tests, Models, Data Analysis, Reading Tests
Xu, Xueli; von Davier, Matthias – ETS Research Report Series, 2008
Three strategies for linking two consecutive assessments are investigated and compared by analyzing reading data for the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) using the general diagnostic model. These strategies are compared in terms of marginal and joint expectations of skills, joint probabilities of skill patterns, and item…
Descriptors: National Competency Tests, Probability, Reading Achievement, Test Items
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