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Peer reviewedTversky, Amos; Kahneman, Daniel – Psychological Review, 1983
Judgments under uncertainty are often mediated by intuitive heuristics that are not bound by the conjunction rule of probability. Representativeness and availability heuristics can make a conjunction appear more probable than one of its constituents. Alternative interpretations of this conjunction fallacy are discussed and attempts to combat it…
Descriptors: Cognitive Processes, Error Patterns, Evaluative Thinking, Heuristics
