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Arkes, Hal R. – Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 1981
Five impediments to accurate clinical judgment are discussed: inability to assess covariation, influence of preconceived notions, lack of awareness of one's judgmental processes, overconfidence, and hindsight bias. Presents three strategies to minimize impediments' effects: considera- tion of alternative outcomes, increased attention to data, and…
Descriptors: Analysis of Covariance, Bayesian Statistics, Bias, Clinical Diagnosis