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Direct linkNilsson, Hakan; Winman, Anders; Juslin, Peter; Hansson, Goran – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2009
This article explores the configural weighted average (CWA) hypothesis suggesting that extension biases, like conjunction and disjunction errors, occur because people estimate compound probabilities by taking a CWA of the constituent probabilities. The hypothesis suggests a process consistent with well-known cognitive constraints, which…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Prediction, Probability, Bias
