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Pennycook, Gordon; Trippas, Dries; Handley, Simon J.; Thompson, Valerie A. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Base-rate neglect refers to the tendency for people to underweight base-rate probabilities in favor of diagnostic information. It is commonly held that base-rate neglect occurs because effortful (Type 2) reasoning is required to process base-rate information, whereas diagnostic information is accessible to fast, intuitive (Type 1) processing…
Descriptors: Probability, Intuition, Cognitive Processes, Physicians