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Yaosheng Lou; Kimberly F. Colvin – Discover Education, 2025
Predicting student performance has been a critical focus of educational research. With an effective predictive model, schools can identify potentially at-risk students and implement timely interventions to support student success. Recent developments in educational data mining (EDM) have introduced several machine learning techniques that can…
Descriptors: Educational Research, Data Collection, Performance, Prediction
Yikai Lu; Lingbo Tong; Ying Cheng – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2024
Knowledge tracing aims to model and predict students' knowledge states during learning activities. Traditional methods like Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) and logistic regression have limitations in granularity and performance, while deep knowledge tracing (DKT) models often suffer from lacking transparency. This paper proposes a…
Descriptors: Models, Intelligent Tutoring Systems, Prediction, Knowledge Level
Gregory Chernov – Evaluation Review, 2025
Most existing solutions to the current replication crisis in science address only the factors stemming from specific poor research practices. We introduce a novel mechanism that leverages the experts' predictive abilities to analyze the root causes of replication failures. It is backed by the principle that the most accurate predictor is the most…
Descriptors: Replication (Evaluation), Prediction, Scientific Research, Failure
Seth Elkin-Frankston; James McIntyre; Tad T. Brunyé; Aaron L. Gardony; Clifford L. Hancock; Meghan P. O'Donovan; Victoria G. Bode; Eric L. Miller – Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications, 2025
Existing toolkits for analyzing movement dynamics in animal ecology primarily focus on individual or group behavior in habitats without predefined boundaries, while methods for studying human activity often cater to bounded environments, such as team sports played on defined fields. This leaves a gap in tools for modeling and analyzing human group…
Descriptors: Group Dynamics, Military Personnel, Measures (Individuals), Computer Software
Anthony S. DiStefano; Joshua S. Yang – Field Methods, 2024
Despite recent methodological advances in saturation, guidelines for its estimation in more complex research designs--such as ethnographic studies--have been lacking. We present an accessible, step-by-step approach to empirical assessment of data saturation, tested on a moderately sized ethnographic study with 109 combined direct observations and…
Descriptors: Sample Size, Ethnography, Research Methodology, Research Design
Majdi Beseiso – TechTrends: Linking Research and Practice to Improve Learning, 2025
Predicting students' success is crucial in educational settings to improve academic performance and prevent dropouts. This study aimed to improve student performance prediction by combining advanced machine learning (ML) approaches. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and attention mechanisms were used for extracting relevant features from…
Descriptors: Prediction, Success, Academic Achievement, Artificial Intelligence
Narjes Rohani; Behnam Rohani; Areti Manataki – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2024
The prediction of student performance and the analysis of students' learning behaviour play an important role in enhancing online courses. By analysing a massive amount of clickstream data that captures student behaviour, educators can gain valuable insights into the factors that influence students' academic outcomes and identify areas of…
Descriptors: Mathematics Education, Models, Prediction, Knowledge Level
Yuan Hsiao; Lee Fiorio; Jonathan Wakefield; Emilio Zagheni – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
Obtaining reliable and timely estimates of migration flows is critical for advancing the migration theory and guiding policy decisions, but it remains a challenge. Digital data provide granular information on time and space, but do not draw from representative samples of the population, leading to biased estimates. We propose a method for…
Descriptors: Migration, Migration Patterns, Data Collection, Data Analysis
Kelli A. Bird; Benjamin L. Castleman; Yifeng Song – Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2025
Predictive analytics are increasingly pervasive in higher education. However, algorithmic bias has the potential to reinforce racial inequities in postsecondary success. We provide a comprehensive and translational investigation of algorithmic bias in two separate prediction models--one predicting course completion, the second predicting degree…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Technology Uses in Education, Bias, Racism
Construction and Analysis of a Decision Tree-Based Predictive Model for Learning Intervention Advice
Chenglong Wang – Turkish Online Journal of Educational Technology - TOJET, 2024
The rapid development of education informatization has accumulated a large amount of data for learning analytics, and adopting educational data mining to find new patterns of data, develop new algorithms and models, and apply known predictive models to the teaching system to improve learning is the challenge and vision of the education field in…
Descriptors: Decision Making, Prediction, Models, Intervention
Marcus Kubsch; Sebastian Strauß; Adrian Grimm; Sebastian Gombert; Hendrik Drachsler; Knut Neumann; Nikol Rummel – Educational Psychology Review, 2025
Recent research underscores the importance of inquiry learning for effective science education. Inquiry learning involves self-regulated learning (SRL), for example when students conduct investigations. Teachers face challenges in orchestrating and tracking student learning in such instruction; making it hard to adequately support students. Using…
Descriptors: Inquiry, Science Instruction, Electronic Books, Workbooks