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Jeremiah T. Stark – ProQuest LLC, 2024
This study highlights the role and importance of advanced, machine learning-driven predictive models in enhancing the accuracy and timeliness of identifying students at-risk of negative academic outcomes in data-driven Early Warning Systems (EWS). K-12 school districts have, at best, 13 years to prepare students for adulthood and success. They…
Descriptors: High School Students, Graduation Rate, Predictor Variables, Predictive Validity
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Yanagiura, Takeshi – Community College Review, 2023
Objective: This study examines how accurately a small set of short-term academic indicators can approximate long-term outcomes of community college students so that decision-makers can take informed actions based on those indicators to evaluate the current progress of large-scale reform efforts on long-term outcomes, which in practice will not be…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, Community College Students, Educational Indicators, Outcomes of Education
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Qin, Lu; Phillips, Glenn Allen – International Journal of Higher Education, 2019
The 3-year graduation rate is a rarely measured metric in higher education compared to its 4- or 6- year graduation rate counterparts. For the first time in college (FTIC) students to graduate in three years, they must come with certain skills, abilities, plans, supports, or motivations. This project considers two distinct but interrelated ways of…
Descriptors: Graduation Rate, Time to Degree, College Credits, Grade Point Average
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Hutt, Stephen; Gardner, Margo; Duckworth, Angela L.; D'Mello, Sidney K. – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2019
We explore generalizability and fairness across sociodemographic groups for predicting on-time college graduation using a national dataset of 41,359 college applications. Our features include sociodemographics, institutional graduation rates, academic achievement, standardized test scores, engagement in extracurricular activities, and work…
Descriptors: Generalization, Predictive Measurement, College Applicants, Time to Degree
Grogan, Rita D. – ProQuest LLC, 2017
Purpose: The purpose of this case study was to determine the impact of utilizing predictive modeling to improve successful course completion rates for at-risk students at California community colleges. A secondary purpose of the study was to identify factors of predictive modeling that have the most importance for improving successful course…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, Case Studies, Models, Academic Persistence
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Huang, Liuli; Roche, Lahna R.; Kennedy, Eugene; Brocato, Melissa B. – International Journal of Higher Education, 2017
Many researchers have explored the relationships between the likelihood of graduating from college and demographic and pre-college factors such as gender, race/ethnicity, high school grade point average (GPA), and standardized test scores. However, additional factors such as a student's college major, home address, or use of learning support in…
Descriptors: Graduation Rate, Predictor Variables, Predictive Measurement, Predictive Validity