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Vos, Hans J. | 15 |
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Vos, Hans J. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 1999
Formulates optimal sequential rules for mastery testing using an approach derived from Bayesian sequential decision theory to consider both threshold and linear loss structures. Adopts the binomial probability distribution as the psychometric model. Provides an empirical example for concept-learning in medicine. (SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Equations (Mathematics), Mastery Tests, Probability

Vos, Hans J. – Educational Research and Evaluation (An International Journal on Theory and Practice), 1997
Optimal sequential decision rules are proposed for adapting the appropriate amount of instruction to learning needs. The framework for the approach is derived from Bayesian decision theory and the assumption that three actions (master, partial master, and nonmaster) are open to the decision maker. (SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making, Individual Differences, Needs Assessment

van der Linden, Wim J.; Vos, Hans J. – Psychometrika, 1996
A Bayesian approach for simultaneous optimization of test-based decisions is presented using the example of a selection decision for a treatment followed by a mastery decision. A distinction is made between weak and strong rules, and conditions for monotonicity of optimal weak and strong rules are presented. (Author/SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making, Scores, Selection

Vos, Hans J. – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 1997
A model for simultaneous optimization of combinations of test-based decisions in psychology and education is proposed using Bayesian decision theory. Weak and strong rules are distinguished for a decision model that consists of a combination of placement and mastery decisions. (SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Placement, Psychological Studies
van der Linden, Wim J.; Vos, Hans J. – 1994
This paper presents some Bayesian theories of simultaneous optimization of decision rules for test-based decisions. Simultaneous decision making arises when an institution has to make a series of selection, placement, or mastery decisions with respect to subjects from a population. An obvious example is the use of individualized instruction in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making, Foreign Countries, Scores
Vos, Hans J. – 1988
The application of the Minnesota Adaptive Instructional System (MAIS) decision procedure by R. D. Tennyson et al. (1975, 1977) is examined. The MAIS is a computer-based adaptive instructional system. The problems of determining the optimal number of interrogatory examples in the MAIS can be formalized as a problem of Bayesian decision making. Two…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Bayesian Statistics, Computer Assisted Instruction, Decision Making

Vos, Hans J. – Journal of Educational Statistics, 1990
An approach is presented to simultaneously optimize decision rules for combinations of elementary decisions through a framework derived from Bayesian decision theory. The developed linear utility model for selection-mastery decisions was applied to a sample of 43 first year medical students to illustrate the procedure. (SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making, Equations (Mathematics), Higher Education
Glas, Cees A. W.; Vos, Hans J. – 1998
A version of sequential mastery testing is studied in which response behavior is modeled by an item response theory (IRT) model. First, a general theoretical framework is sketched that is based on a combination of Bayesian sequential decision theory and item response theory. A discussion follows on how IRT based sequential mastery testing can be…
Descriptors: Adaptive Testing, Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Mastery Tests
Vos, Hans J. – 1994
Some applications of Bayesian decision theory to intelligent tutoring systems are considered. How the problem of adapting the appropriate amount of instruction to the changing nature of a student's capabilities during the learning process can be situated in the general framework of Bayesian decision theory is discussed in the context of the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Decision Making, Foreign Countries, Intelligent Tutoring Systems
Vos, Hans J. – 1997
The purpose of this paper is to formulate optimal sequential rules for mastery tests. The framework for this approach is derived from empirical Bayesian decision theory. Both a threshold and linear loss structure are considered. The binomial probability distribution is adopted as the psychometric model involved. Conditions sufficient for…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Concept Formation, Cutting Scores, Foreign Countries
Glas, Cees A. W.; Vos, Hans J. – 2000
This paper focuses on a version of sequential mastery testing (i.e., classifying students as a master/nonmaster or continuing testing and administering another item or testlet) in which response behavior is modeled by a multidimensional item response theory (IRT) model. First, a general theoretical framework is outlined that is based on a…
Descriptors: Adaptive Testing, Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Computer Assisted Testing
Vos, Hans J. – 1989
An approach to simultaneous optimization of assignments of subjects to treatments followed by an end-of-mastery test is presented using the framework of Bayesian decision theory. Focus is on demonstrating how rules for the simultaneous optimization of sequences of decisions can be found. The main advantages of the simultaneous approach, compared…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Cultural Differences, Decision Making, Equations (Mathematics)
Vos, Hans J. – 1994
A method is proposed for optimizing cutting scores for a selection-placement-mastery problem simultaneously. A simultaneous approach has two advantages over separate optimization. First, test scores used in previous decisions can be used as "prior data" in later decisions, increasing the efficiency of the decisions. Then, more realistic…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computer Assisted Instruction, Criteria, Cutting Scores
Vos, Hans J. – 1988
The purpose of this paper is to simultaneously optimize decision rules for combinations of elementary decisions. As a result of this approach, rules are found that make more efficient use of the data than does optimizing those decisions separately. The framework for the approach is derived from empirical Bayesian theory. To illustrate the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, College Freshmen, Computer Assisted Instruction, Decision Making
Vos, Hans J. – 1994
As part of a project formulating optimal rules for decision making in computer assisted instructional systems in which the computer is used as a decision support tool, an approach that simultaneously optimizes classification of students into two treatments, each followed by a mastery decision, is presented using the framework of Bayesian decision…
Descriptors: Achievement Tests, Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Computer Managed Instruction