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Williamson, David M.; Mislevy, Robert J.; Almond, Russell G. – 2001
This study investigated statistical methods for identifying errors in Bayesian networks (BN) with latent variables, as found in intelligent cognitive assessments. BN, commonly used in artificial intelligence systems, are promising mechanisms for scoring constructed-response examinations. The success of an intelligent assessment or tutoring system…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Tests, Mathematical Models
Levy, Roy; Mislevy, Robert J. – 2003
This paper aims to describe a Bayesian approach to modeling and estimating cognitive models both in terms of statistical machinery and actual instrument development. Such a method taps the knowledge of experts to provide initial estimates for the probabilistic relationships among the variables in a multivariate latent variable model and refines…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Processes, Markov Processes, Mathematical Models
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Mislevy, Robert J. – Psychometrika, 1986
This article describes a Bayesian framework for estimation in item response models, with two-stage distributions on both item and examinee populations. Strategies for point and interval estimation are discussed, and a general procedure based on the EM algorithm is presented. (Author/LMO)
Descriptors: Algorithms, Bayesian Statistics, Estimation (Mathematics), Latent Trait Theory
Mislevy, Robert J. – 1985
Simultaneous estimation of many parameters can often be improved, sometimes dramatically so, if it is reasonable to consider one or more subsets of parameters as exchangeable members of corresponding populations. While each observation may provide limited information about the parameters it is modeled directly in terms of, it also contributes…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Bayesian Statistics, Estimation (Mathematics), Latent Trait Theory
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Mislevy, Robert J. – Psychometrika, 1984
Assuming vectors of item responses depend on ability through a fully specified item response model, this paper presents maximum likelihood equations for estimating the population parameters without estimating an ability parameter for each subject. Asymptotic standard errors, tests of fit, computing approximations, and details of four special cases…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Estimation (Mathematics), Goodness of Fit, Latent Trait Theory
Mislevy, Robert J. – 1986
The precision of item parameter estimates can be increased by taking advantage of dependencies between the latent proficiency variable and auxiliary examinee variables such as age, courses taken, and years of schooling. Score gains roughly equivalent to two to six additional item responses can be expected in typical educational and psychological…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Estimation (Mathematics), Information Utilization, Item Analysis
Mislevy, Robert J. – 1987
Standard procedures for estimating item parameters in Item Response Theory models make no use of auxiliary information about test items, such as their format or content, or the skills they require for solution. This paper describes a framework for exploiting this information, thereby enhancing the precision and stability of item parameter…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Difficulty Level, Estimation (Mathematics), Intermediate Grades
Mislevy, Robert J. – Journal of Education Statistics, 1986
Recent work in factor analysis of categorical variables is reviewed, emphasizing a generalized least squares solution and a maximum likelihood approach. A common factor model for dichotomous items is introduced, and the estimation of factor loadings from matrices of tetracorrelations is discussed. (LMO)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Estimation (Mathematics), Factor Analysis, Goodness of Fit