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Kaplan, David; Huang, Mingya – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2021
Of critical importance to education policy is monitoring trends in education outcomes over time. In the United States, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has provided long-term trend data since 1970; at the state/jurisdiction level, NAEP has provided long-term trend data since 1996. In addition to the national NAEP, all 50…
Descriptors: Educational Policy, Educational Trends, National Competency Tests, Bayesian Statistics
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Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianshen – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2013
The purpose of this study is to explore Bayesian model averaging in the propensity score context. Previous research on Bayesian propensity score analysis does not take into account model uncertainty. In this regard, an internally consistent Bayesian framework for model building and estimation must also account for model uncertainty. The…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Probability, Monte Carlo Methods
Kaplan, David; Chen, Cassie J. S. – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2011
Propensity score analysis (PSA) has been used in a variety of settings, such as education, epidemiology, and sociology. Most typically, propensity score analysis has been implemented within the conventional frequentist perspective of statistics. This perspective, as is well known, does not account for uncertainty in either the parameters of the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Probability, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Inference