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Makela, Susanna; Si, Yajuan; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2018
Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider a two-stage cluster sampling design where the clusters are first selected with probability proportional to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Sampling, Probability
Carpenter, Bob; Gelman, Andrew; Hoffman, Matthew D.; Lee, Daniel; Goodrich, Ben; Betancourt, Michael; Brubaker, Marcus A.; Guo, Jiqiang; Li, Peter; Riddell, Allen – Grantee Submission, 2017
Stan is a probabilistic programming language for specifying statistical models. A Stan program imperatively defines a log probability function over parameters conditioned on specified data and constants. As of version 2.14.0, Stan provides full Bayesian inference for continuous-variable models through Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as the…
Descriptors: Programming Languages, Probability, Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods
Peer reviewed Peer reviewed
Meulders, Michel; De Boeck, Paul; Van Mechelen, Iven; Gelman, Andrew; Maris, Eric – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2001
Presents a fully Bayesian analysis for the Probability Matrix Decomposition (PMD) model using the Gibbs sampler. Identifies the advantages of this approach and illustrates the approach by applying the PMD model to opinions of respondents from different countries concerning the possibility of contracting AIDS in a specific situation. (SLD)
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Matrices, Probability, Psychometrics