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Direct linkGelman, Andrew; Hullman, Jessica; Wlezien, Christopher; Morris, George Elliott – Grantee Submission, 2020
Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time. However, these "knowns" about how to make a good presidential election forecast come with many unknowns due to the challenges of evaluating forecast calibration and…
Descriptors: Presidents, Elections, Incentives, Public Opinion
Coplin, William D.; O'Leary, Michael K. – 1983
This package introduces college students to the elements of the Prince System, a widely used system for making political forecasts and developing political strategies. Designed to be completed in two to three weeks, the two exercises enable students to (1) identify political issues that the Prince System can help them understand, (2) determine the…
Descriptors: Bureaucracy, Case Studies, Change Strategies, Charts
