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Gelman, Andrew; Hullman, Jessica; Wlezien, Christopher; Morris, George Elliott – Grantee Submission, 2020
Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time. However, these "knowns" about how to make a good presidential election forecast come with many unknowns due to the challenges of evaluating forecast calibration and…
Descriptors: Presidents, Elections, Incentives, Public Opinion
Jordan, Chet; Picciano, Anthony – Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, 2019
The book analyses and evaluates several key community college reform programs that emerged after the Recession of 2008 and as a result of major initiatives in California, New York, Tennessee, Florida, Connecticut and Wisconsin. Because of the economic downturn in the early 21st Century, an already eroding financial base for public higher education…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, Educational Change, Economic Climate, Program Implementation
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Ihrig, Jane; Wolla, Scott – Social Education, 2020
The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is the central bank of the United States. It has a congressional mandate to promote maximum sustainable employment and price stability. In normal times, the Fed seeks to achieve this mandate by setting the position or "stance" of monetary policy, primarily by managing the level of short-term interest rates.…
Descriptors: Public Agencies, Federal Government, Economic Climate, Employment